Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 6 College Football Game

Wilson: My Projected Odds for Every Week 6 College Football Game article feature image
Credit:

John Reed, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Bo Nix

There was a stark contrast between two national title contenders during Week 5. Both went on the road in conference play to face opponents as double-digit favorites.

Spoiler alert, both College Football Playoff hopefuls won their respective games. Clemson survived in a single-point victory, while Ohio State sent the Cornhusker fan base home at halftime.

After his team’s narrow win, Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney remarked that they were “out-coached and outplayed.”

North Carolina went for a 2-point conversion that would have sealed the upset, but there was no sense of urgency or a hunger from Swinney in postgame comments. Does Clemson have the same drive as the 2018 team that was constantly behind Alabama in public opinion?

As for teams playing with a chip on their shoulder, Ohio State took advantage of three interceptions in Lincoln to rout Nebraska.

The Cornhuskers’ havoc defense hardly showed up and they didn’t flash any explosiveness on offense. The Buckeyes have now outscored opponents 173-22 in the first half this season.

Our Action Network power ratings have been adjusted for Week 6 openers. Circa Sports in as Vegas is expected to be first to market on a slate that includes Auburn at Florida and Michigan State at Ohio State.

Every Sunday morning the Action Network will shed light on point spread projections for every game of the following week to find early betting value.

Look here in preparation for opening lines and follow me in The Action Network App when I bet those lines on Sunday afternoon.

Projected College Football Odds, Week 6

A negative number indicates the home team is favored by that many points; positive number means the home team is an underdog.

Week 6 Scheduling Notes

  • Ohio, Eastern Michigan, Colorado, San Diego State, Florida International, Louisville, LSU, Miami, Illinois, Missouri, Ball State, Bowling Green, Oregon, Tulsa, Boise State, UTSA and Kent State are all off a bye week.
  • Duke, Virginia Tech, Cal, Penn State, Maryland and Memphis have extra rest.
  • New Mexico and Northwestern will be on back-to-back travel.
  • Tulane-Army, Georgia-Tennesseeand Texas-West Virginia face each other off a bye week.
  • Arkansas State is on back-to-back travel visiting Georgia State who comes off a bye week. This plays into a Bet Labs trend to support Sun Belt road teams on back to back travel against conference opponents on extra rest, with Louisiana over Georgia Southern as the Week 5 example.

Week 6 Injury Notes

  • Arizona quarterback Khalil Tate suffered a hamstring injury and did not play against UCLA.
  • Arizona running back JJ Taylor was held out of the UCLA game with an ankle injury.
  • BYU quarterback Zach Wilson suffered a thumb injury against Toledo and will not be available against USF on October 12.
  • Oklahoma running back Kennedy Brooks exited with a left knee injury. It is unknown if he will play against Kansas.
  • Purdue quarterback Elijah Sindelar exited with a shoulder injury. His status against Penn State is unknown.
  • Purdue wide receiver Rondale Moore exited with a knee injury. His status against Penn State is unknown.
  • Army quarterback Kelvin Hopkins Jr. is tending to a leg injury. It is unknown if he will face Tulane.
  • Navy quarterback Malcolm Perry departed with a shoulder injury. It is unknown if he will be available against Air Force.
  • Cal quarterback Chase Garbers left the game with a shoulder injury. His status for Oregon is unknown.
  • UCLA quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson left with an ankle injury and did not return. His status for Oregon State is unknown.

Week 6 Situation Spots to Play

  • North Carolina will follow up a near upset of Clemson with a trip to Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets scored zero offensive points in Week 5.
  • LSU may be on overlook to Florida as Utah State visits. Joe Burrow is listed on the injury report and has a possibility of not playing.
  • Bowling Green off a bye week is in a Notre Dame sandwich spot. After facing Georgia and Virginia, the Irish will face USC in Week 7.
  • The Red River Showdown comes Week 7. Oklahoma at Kansas and Texas at West Virginia are both overlook spots for the Sooners and Longhorns, respectively.