The Rutgers Scarlet Knights take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers in Minneapolis, Minn. Kickoff is set for 12 p.m. ET on the Big Ten Network.
Minnesota is favored by 5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -200. Rutgers, meanwhile, enters as a +5 underdog and sits at +165 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under comes in at 51.5 points.
Here’s my Rutgers vs. Minnesota prediction and college football picks for Saturday, September 27.
Rutgers vs Minnesota Prediction
- Rutgers vs. Minnesota Pick: Rutgers +5
My Minnesota vs. Rutgers best bet is on the Scarlet Knights to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Rutgers vs Minnesota Odds
| Rutgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5 -110 | 51 -110o / -110u | +165 |
| Minnesota Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5 -110 | 51 -110o / -110u | -200 |
- Rutgers vs Minnesota Spread: Minnesota -5, Rutgers +5
- Rutgers vs Minnesota Over/Under: 51 Points
- Rutgers vs Minnesota Moneyline: Rutgers +165, Minnesota -200
Rutgers vs Minnesota College Football Betting Preview
Saturday's Rutgers vs. Minnesota battle in the Big Ten fits a historically profitable betting system from our Bet Labs database called "Fade Home Favorite In Conference With 0 ATS Wins."
In regular-season college football conference play, home favorites with no wins against the spread often find themselves overvalued by the market.
Despite a poor performance against the spread, the perception of home-field advantage and overall team strength can keep lines inflated.
Facing familiar conference opponents that understand their tendencies, these teams are more vulnerable than the odds suggest.
The combination of public bias, inflated spreads and proven inability to cover creates consistent value in fading the home favorite, Minnesota, in this situation.
This system boasts an all-time record of 118-96-3, good for a 55.1% win rate and an ROI of 7.6%.
Rutgers vs Minnesota Pick, Betting Analysis
With the system in play, it's worth noting that Minnesota has gone 1-2 against the spread this season, with its only ATS win coming against FCS Northwestern State in a game it won 66-0.
Outside of that dominant performance, the Golden Gophers beat Buffalo by 13 as 16.5-point favorites and lost to Cal, 27-14, as 2.5-point favorites.
On the other side, Rutgers has gone 2-2 against the spread but has looked solid behind the arm of quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis.
The former Golden Gopher has completed 68.8% of his passes for 1,150 yards and seven touchdowns with just one interception.
That could be a problem against his former team, which ranks just 39th in Passing Success Rate allowed despite sitting at fourth in Rushing Success Rate allowed.
With the system at play and the matchup on the field, we'll take the Scarlet Knights to cover as road 'dogs.
Pick: Rutgers +5
