Syracuse vs. Purdue Odds, Picks | How to Bet This NCAAF Matchup
Photo by Bryan Bennett/Getty Images. Pictured: Juwaun Price (Syracuse)
Syracuse vs Purdue Odds
| Syracuse Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -105 | 56.5 -110o / -110u | -125 |
| Purdue Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -115 | 56.5 -110o / -110u | +105 |
It’s the ACC against the Big Ten as the Syracuse Orange travel to West Lafayette, Indiana to take on the Purdue Boilermakers.
Syracuse enters this game with a 2-0 record after two dominating wins over Colgate and Western Michigan. The Orange are 2-0 against the spread and have split results for totals.
Purdue comes into this game with a 1-1 record and is coming off of a win over Virginia Tech after suffering a surprising upset in Week 1. The Boilers are 1-1 against the spread and have gone 1-1 against the total.
Temperatures in West Lafayette are forecasted to range from 63 degrees to 71 degrees during this game. There will be light cross winds ranging from 2.7 to 5.0 miles per hour. Barring any major change, the weather will not have an impact on either team’s ability to score.
Dino Babers’ Orange have dominated early competition. While the level of competition is a justifiable question mark, they have been incredibly efficient.
Syracuse enters this game averaging 56.5 points per game and 7.1 yards per play. The Orange have a 51% Success Rate and have averaged 4.78 points per opportunity. They rank inside the top 10 for pace nationally with an average of 21.7 seconds per play.
Because of their dominance through two games, Garrett Shrader and Carlos Del Rio-Wilson have split reps, with Shrader being the starter. Shrader is completing 68.5% of his passes for an average of 10.1 yards per attempt with five touchdowns and just one interception.
As a team, the Orange have a 62% Passing Success Rate.
Three Syracuse backs have at least 15 carries, with LeQuint Allen leading the charge with 24 attempts and 127 rushing yards. As a team, the Orange are averaging 44.5 rush attempts per game for an average of 4.8 yards per attempt. They have a 44% Rushing Success Rate.
One concern for this offense has been along the offensive line. The unit has allowed a 20% Havoc Rate and ranks 90th in Line Yards per attempt.
The defense has allowed 3.5 points per game and 3.2 yards per play. The Orange allow a 14% Success Rate, which includes a 10% Passing Success Rate.
They have found the ability to end their opponents' drives with a Havoc Rate of 31%, and they are allowing an average of just 1.4 points per opportunity.
In his first season as the head coach, Ryan Walters has the Boilermakers off to a 1-1 start. Coming in off of their bounce-back win over Virginia Tech, they’ll look to pick up their first home victory of the season.
They have averaged 29.5 points per game and 5.6 yards per play. They allow Havoc on 16% of plays and have scored 3.46 points per opportunity.
Transfer QB Hudson Card has completed 62.5% of his passes for an average of 7.8 yards per attempt, with 502 yards and two touchdowns.
The Boilers are averaging 32 pass attempts per game. They have a 42% Passing Success Rate and have completed an average of 2.5 passes per game over 20 yards.
Devin Mockobee has led an offense that's averaged 38 rush attempts per game. He has 37 carries for 155 yards and two scores.
As a team, the Boilermakers are averaging 3.8 yards per attempt and have a 36% Rushing Success Rate.
The offensive line has generated 2.71 Line Yards per attempt and has allowed a 27% Stuff Rate.
On the defensive end, Purdue has allowed 28 points per game and 5.4 yards per play. It allows a 39% Success Rate and maybe more concerningly, it's allowed six plays over 20 yards per game.
The Boilermakers generate Havoc on just 15% of plays and allow five points per opportunity.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Syracuse and Purdue match up statistically:
Syracuse Offense vs. Purdue Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 62 | 23 | |
| Line Yards | 87 | 10 | |
| Pass Success | 21 | 114 | |
| Havoc | 79 | 73 | |
| Finishing Drives | 37 | 115 | |
| Quality Drives | 7 | 82 |
Purdue Offense vs. Syracuse Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 99 | 1 | |
| Line Yards | 93 | 5 | |
| Pass Success | 73 | 2 | |
| Havoc | 42 | 38 | |
| Finishing Drives | 93 | 13 | |
| Quality Drives | 84 | 1 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 2 | 98 |
| PFF Coverage | 5 | 104 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 8 | 113 |
| Middle 8 | 4 | 103 |
| Seconds per Play | 21.7 (9) | 26.4 (62) |
| Rush Rate | 53.9% (63) | 54.3% (55) |
Syracuse vs. Purdue
Betting Pick & Prediction
Purdue opened this game as a two-point underdog and the line has moved up to 2.5 points. And even as the line moves, money and tickets continue to favor the Orange.
As of this writing, 87% of tickets and 97% of money is on Syracuse.
While I'm not beholden to following the money, I'm doing that here. I'm taking Syracuse and will lay the 2.5 points.
There are real questions about the level of competition Cuse has face, but it's been dominant in its first two games. Meanwhile, Purdue has exposed concerns on its end.
I would play this up to 6.5, but I would decrease the bet size once it crosses 3.
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