The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in Fayetteville, Arkansas, on Saturday, Oct. 18. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Texas A&M is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -300. Arkansas, meanwhile, enters as a +7.5 underdog and is +250 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 61.5 total points.
Here’s my Texas A&M vs. Arkansas prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 18.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction, Picks
- Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Pick: Over 61.5
My Arkansas vs. Texas A&M best bet is on both teams to go over the total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas Odds, Line, Spread
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -105 | 58.5 -110o / -110u | -300 |
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -115 | 58.5 -110o / -110u | +240 |
- Texas A&M vs Arkansas Spread: Texas A&M -7.5, Arkansas +7.5
- Texas A&M vs Arkansas Over/Under: 58.5
- Texas A&M vs Arkansas Moneyline: Texas A&M ML -300, Arkansas ML +240
Texas A&M vs Arkansas NCAAF Week 8 Preview
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
If you’ve been following Texas A&M this season, you already know what makes this team dangerous: balance and efficiency. The Aggies aren’t flashy, but they move the ball as well as anyone in the SEC.
They rank 45th nationally in Success Rate and 33rd in Finishing Drives, which means they don’t waste possessions. They stay on schedule, avoid negative plays (second in Havoc allowed) and cash in when they get close.
Even their discipline shows up on the stat sheet. The Aggies rank top-25 in penalties and top-25 in starting field position.
This is an offense that knows exactly what it is. It doesn't play fast (79th in tempo), but it's methodical and efficient, capable of putting together long, steady scoring drives.
And while A&M’s defense is elite on paper — top-10 in Success Rate allowed and first nationally on third downs — the Aggies do have a weakness that plays directly into this total: they give up big plays.
They’re 124th in Points Per Opportunity allowed and 108th in Explosiveness allowed, meaning opponents don’t score often, but when they do, it’s in bunches.
That’s exactly the type of defense a quarterback like Taylen Green can take advantage of.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
Arkansas’ record might not impress anyone, but the offense is quietly rounding into form — and Green has been the difference.
The Hogs' signal-caller has been one of the most efficient passers in the country, earning an 88.1 PFF grade (top-10 nationally) with 1,654 yards, 14 touchdowns and a 72.6% completion rate.
More importantly, Arkansas' offense is built to stress defenses vertically, with Green averaging 9.9 yards per attempt.
The Razorbacks rank 37th in Success Rate and 34th in Explosiveness, meaning they can both stay ahead of the chains and hit chunk plays when defenses overcommit.
This shows up in their metrics on standard downs, as they rank 38th in standard down rate. When they're in standard downs and not passing downs, they're elite at moving the ball, ranking 13th in standard down Success Rate, fifth in PPA Per Play and fifth in standard down Explosiveness.
Against A&M, which thrives on early-down dominance, that combination matters. If Green can buy time — he’s averaging just over three seconds per throw — he’ll have chances to exploit a defense that has been vulnerable when drives get extended.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas NCAAF Pick to Bet
This matchup has the feel of a game that breaks open early.
A&M’s offense will move the ball efficiently and force Arkansas to respond.
The Razorbacks, for their part, have the quarterback to do it. Even if the Aggies defense gets its share of stops, the big-play potential on both sides sets the stage for scoring bursts that can pile up quickly.
The Aggies’ methodical approach will produce long drives, while the Hogs’ vertical attack gives them a chance to strike from anywhere on the field.
Both teams have offenses that can score 30-plus points, and both defenses have enough vulnerabilities to make it possible.
This isn’t shaping up to be a grind-it-out SEC slugfest. It’s two capable quarterbacks operating in different gears but headed toward the same outcome: points.
Pick: Over 61.5
Texas A&M vs Arkansas Betting Trends to Watch
