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Tulane vs. Nevada Odds & Pick: Sharp Bettors, Projections Aligned on Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Tuesday, Dec. 22)

Tulane vs. Nevada Odds & Pick: Sharp Bettors, Projections Aligned on Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Tuesday, Dec. 22) article feature image

Jonathan Devich/Getty Images. Pictured: Austin Arnold

Tulane vs. Nevada Odds

Tulane Odds -2.5
Nevada Odds +2.5
Over/Under 57
PRO Projection TUL -0.8 | 57
Time 3:30 p.m. ET
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A second consecutive day featuring an afternoon bowl game will certainly be a welcome sight for bettors, and while sharps may not necessarily care about the time of kickoff, they’ve also found reason to bet the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

In fact, their action on this game has caused a pretty significant line move, and our projections are showing still value on that side, even following the adjustment.

Note: Odds, data as of 8 p.m. ET Monday.

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Tulane vs. Nevada Pick

The side drawing the professional action has been Nevada, and the Wolf Pack’s spread has fallen through a key number as a result.

Sharp Action

Sixty percent of bets on this spread have landed on Nevada, but on its own that’s probably not enough to cause a a line move as significant as this one. Instead, as confirmed by Sports Insights Bet Signals, it’s been sharp bettors among the 60% that have oddsmakers shifting their numbers.

Five Bet Signals have been triggered on Nevada, revealing five separate instances of market responses to sharp action. It is worth noting, however, that all five signals came at lines of +3 or higher, meaning there’s been no confirmation of professional activity inside the key number.

Sharp Action edge: Nevada

Big Money

Also giving reason for oddsmakers to move this spread has been the 88% of money that’s landed on Nevada. Of course, that’s a monetary liability for which sportsbooks need to account for, but it’s also a significantly higher percentage than that of the bets on the Wolf Pack. That serves as another indication that Nevada is attracting sharper bettors, as they’re the ones more likely to be making bigger bets

Big Money edge: Nevada

Model Projections

Even now that this spread is down to just 2.5 points, our college football model still suggests the number is too high. Specifically, it pegs Tulane as just a 0.8-point favorite, meaning there’s still some meat left on the Nevada bone.

Model Projections edge: Nevada

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