Monday night brings a loaded League Championship Series slate, and the home run props on the board right now rank among the best home run bets in the MLB playoffs.
NLCS Game 2 stays in Milwaukee, where the Brewers grabbed a 1-0 series lead with Sunday’s 2-1 win and now host the Dodgers again. The full Dodgers vs. Brewers odds board is live on Polymarket. ALCS Game 1 opens the same night, with the Guardians vs. Rays series kicking off fresh.
Here is a full breakdown of today's best home run bets, built around six Polymarket tickets worth trading tonight using Polymarket promo code ACTION.
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAD vs MIL (5:00 PM ET) | Shohei Ohtani | HR Yes (22¢) | $431.18 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| LAD vs MIL (5:00 PM ET) | Jackson Chourio | HR Yes (14¢) | $674.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| LAD vs MIL (5:00 PM ET) | Christian Yelich | HR Yes (9¢) | $1,045.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| CLE vs TB (8:00 PM ET) | Jo Adell | HR Yes (11¢) | $856.17 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| CLE vs TB (8:00 PM ET) | Yandy Díaz | HR Yes (11.63¢) | $809.82 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| CLE vs TB (8:00 PM ET) | Junior Caminero | HR Yes (17¢) | $556.17 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
Best Home Run Bets Today: Our Top Polymarket Picks for the NLCS and ALCS
Every pick below is a real trade available after redeeming the Polymarket promo code ACTION, the core of today's best home run bets.
These MLB odds move fast as first pitch approaches, so the numbers below reflect the board right now.
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Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction (NLCS Game 2)
Milwaukee takes a 1-0 series lead into tonight behind Sunday's 2-1 win, and the Brewers hand the ball to Logan Henderson as they look to put the Dodgers in an early hole at home. Los Angeles counters with Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who gets the assignment of slowing down a Milwaukee lineup that's already found a way to win at Dodger Stadium.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Shohei Ohtani
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAD vs MIL (5:00 PM ET) | Shohei Ohtani | HR Yes (22¢) | $431.18 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Ohtani sits atop the entire slate's implied probability tonight, and facing Henderson in a Game 2 spot with Milwaukee already up 1-0 doesn't change the fact that he's the most dangerous power threat on either roster.
The market prices him at 22%, the shortest number on today's board, and a Brewers staff trying to protect a series lead still has to get through the middle of this Dodgers order.
On the ticket, a $100 buy at a 22¢ average price comes out to roughly 455 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- Ohtani connects: this ticket nets $431.18 profit.
- He doesn't: the $100 stake goes to zero, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Just over a 4.3-to-1 payout multiple, and it's the safest trade on the board tonight without pretending a single swing is ever truly safe. Read the full Polymarket review to learn how this exchange handles live postseason markets.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Jackson Chourio
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAD vs MIL (5:00 PM ET) | Jackson Chourio | HR Yes (14¢) | $674.00 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Chourio carries Milwaukee's lineup every time he steps in, and he draws Yamamoto tonight, a matchup that cuts both ways: elite stuff on the mound, but Chourio's bat speed plays against any arm in the sport.
The 14% price puts him in the middle of this board, a fair number for a hitter who's shown real over-the-fence power against top-tier starters all season.
A $100 buy at a 14¢ average price works out to roughly 714 shares on this ticket.
- Chourio goes deep: this ticket nets a $674 profit.
- He doesn't: the full $100 stake disappears.
Right around 6.7-to-1 on the payout, splitting the difference between the board's safest number and its deepest long shot.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Christian Yelich
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAD vs MIL (5:00 PM ET) | Christian Yelich | HR Yes (9¢) | $1,045.00 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Yelich draws the toughest assignment on tonight's board, facing a Yamamoto arm that ranks among the hardest in the National League to square up.
That matchup is exactly why the market sets him at just 9%, the longest price of the slate, even with a Brewers lineup that's already proven it can take down the Dodgers once this series.
A $100 buy at a 9¢ average price gets you roughly 1,111 shares.
- Yelich homers: this ticket nets a $1,045 profit.
- He doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
More than 10-to-1 on the payout multiple, this is the deepest long shot on today's entire board, built for a trader chasing maximum leverage on a single swing.
Guardians vs. Rays Prediction (ALCS Game 1)
This ALCS opener carries no series history yet, and both clubs arrive fresh off their respective series wins. Cleveland sends Foster Griffin to the mound, while Tampa Bay counters with Drew Rasmussen in a pitching matchup that sets the tone for the rest of this series.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Jo Adell
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE vs TB (8:00 PM ET) | Jo Adell | HR Yes (11¢) | $856.17 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Adell slots into the middle of Cleveland's order and takes on Rasmussen tonight, a matchup that favors the pitcher on paper but leaves plenty of room for a mistake pitch to leave the yard.
The 11% price reflects a true power threat priced as a long shot rather than a throwaway number, especially in a Game 1 environment where both starters are still finding their rhythm.
A $100 buy at an 11¢ average price comes out to roughly 909 shares on this ticket.
- Adell connects: this ticket nets $856.17 profit.
- He doesn't: the $100 stake is gone entirely.
Close to 8.6-to-1 on the payout, this ticket pairs well with the Rays bats on the other side of the same game.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Yandy Díaz
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE vs TB (8:00 PM ET) | Yandy Díaz | HR Yes (11.63¢) | $809.82 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Díaz faces Griffin tonight, and while he's never profiled as a pure power bat, his contact quality consistently produces hard-hit balls that occasionally clear the fence.
The 11.63% price sits almost identically to Adell's number on the other side of this same game, a sign the market views this as one of the more balanced matchups on the full slate.
A $100 buy at an 11.63¢ average price works out to roughly 860 shares.
- Díaz goes deep: this ticket nets $809.82 in profit.
- He doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.
Just better than 8-to-1 on the payout, nearly matching Adell's ticket in the same game.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Junior Caminero
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ Player HR Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE vs TB (8:00 PM ET) | Junior Caminero | HR Yes (17¢) | $556.17 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Caminero draws the same Griffin matchup as Díaz, and at just 22 years old, he already ranks among the game's premier young power bats.
The 17% price makes him the shortest-priced Rays hitter on tonight's board, reflecting his raw exit velocity numbers rather than anything specific to tonight's opener.
A $100 buy at a 17¢ average price is roughly 588 shares on this ticket.
- Caminero connects: this ticket nets a $556.17 profit.
- He doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Right around 5.6-to-1 on the payout, the safest Rays ticket on the board tonight.
Today's MLB Odds: What's Moving the Home Run Market
Prediction markets price these tickets off matchup-specific data, not just season-long power numbers. Ohtani's 22% price, the shortest on the board, reflects a Brewers staff that has to navigate the middle of this Dodgers order with a series lead already in hand.
Yelich's 9% price sits at the other extreme, a direct result of facing Yamamoto, who ranks among the toughest matchups a Brewers hitter sees all October.
Over in Cleveland, Adell and Díaz price out almost identically despite representing opposite sides of the same game, a sign the market sees this Game 1 pitching matchup as close to even.
That spread of short favorites and real long shots is exactly what makes tonight's board some of the best home run bets today across either League Championship Series.
Use Polymarket Promo Code ACTION to Trade MLB Home Runs
Ready to take a position on tonight's board? Getting started takes just a few minutes.
- Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Check the best prediction market promos available right now before placing a trade.
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy a first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to track live order book movement ahead of first pitch.
- Sign up with Polymarket promo code ACTION to get started tonight!
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MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Final Thoughts
Two League Championship Series openers on one night produce a home run board loaded with contrast: Ohtani sits as the safest trade of the night, Yelich carries the deepest leverage, and the Cleveland-Tampa Bay matchups price out as close to even as this board gets.
Milwaukee already holds a 1-0 series edge, and the Yamamoto-Henderson pitching matchup shapes both Dodgers home run tickets tonight, while the Guardians-Rays opener still has zero series history to lean on.
Check the best prediction market apps to follow tonight's board from a phone, and the full prediction markets hub covers every other sport live right now.
Polymarket Promo Code FAQs
What is the Polymarket promo code for today's MLB home run props?
The current Polymarket promo code is ACTION. New users who sign up with it unlock the $25 bonus available on tonight's NLCS and ALCS markets.
What are today's best MLB home run odds?
Shohei Ohtani leads tonight's board at 22%, the shortest price on the slate, while Christian Yelich carries the longest odds at 9%.
Who is favored to hit a home run tonight?
Ohtani in the Dodgers-Brewers game leads the board at 22%, the shortest implied probability of any player covered here.
What is the best home run prop today?
Ohtani stands out as the safest trade on tonight's board, with Adell and Díaz offering the most balanced long-shot pricing in the Guardians-Rays opener.
Why does Christian Yelich carry the longest odds tonight?
Yelich faces Yoshinobu Yamamoto, one of the toughest matchups a hitter sees in this postseason, which pushes his home run price down to 9%.
How do Polymarket home run contracts work?
Each contract resolves Yes if the named player hits at least one home run in that specific game, and No if he doesn't. Shares bought at a given price pay out $1 each if the contract resolves in your favor, and nothing if it doesn't.
When do tonight's home run markets resolve?
Each contract resolves once its specific game goes final, based on official MLB box score data for that matchup.
Are there more MLB prediction markets to trade tonight?
Yes. Beyond these home run props, Polymarket carries moneyline, spread, and additional prop markets live for both NLCS Game 2 and ALCS Game 1, plus markets across other sports in season right now.
