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I'll cover my three best NFL bets today, which include moves on Patriots vs. Jaguars (1 p.m. ET, CBS), Titans vs. Giants (1 p.m. ET, CBS), and Ravens vs. Cowboys (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS). Take the new trade credits from the welcome offer to lock in on these matchups.
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NFL Best Bets Today for Week 3 Games
| Matchup | Kickoff (ET) | Odds | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Jaguars | 1 p.m. ET, CBS | Jaguars -2.5, Total: 45.5 | Jaguars -2.5 |
| Titans vs. Giants | 1 p.m. ET, CBS | Giants -2.5, Total: 37.5 | Under 37.5 |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | 4:25 p.m., CBS | Ravens -3.5, Total: 52.5 | Over 52.5 |
Patriots vs. Jaguars (-2.5)
Both teams sit at 1-1 after reaching the AFC's top tier last season, but the trend lines point in opposite directions. Drake Maye has already thrown four interceptions and ranks near the bottom of the league in pressure performance, and New England just lost guard Mike Onwenu for the season while right tackle Morgan Moses fights an injury. Jacksonville's front generates pressure without blitzing, turning a thin Patriots line into a real problem.
Trevor Lawrence carries the other edge. He ranks top five in several advanced metrics, adds real value with his legs under Liam Coen, and gets home cooking after a sloppy 20-13 loss in Denver. Look for Parker Washington to have a huge day in the slot against a New England secondary that likely won't shadow him.
Titans vs. Giants: Under 38.5 Points
This total opened north of 43, and the market has hammered it ever since. Jaxson Dart's season-ending knee injury pushes Jameis Winston into the lineup after a 11-of-27, 111-yard, one-interception relief outing against the Rams. Rain and heavy wind gusts hit MetLife on Sunday, and both staffs already lean run-heavy. As a witness here in North Jersey, the weather has been miserable all weekend and won't get any better today.
Tennessee brings no relief. Cam Ward averages 161.5 passing yards per game, absorbs sacks at a brutal rate, and works behind a line missing pieces. A great running team like Philadelphia managed only 2.8 yards per carry against the Titans last week, which suggests we should see plenty of punts in this one.
Ravens vs. Cowboys: Over 52.5 Points
Rio de Janeiro hosts the highest total on the board, and the matchups back it up. Dallas surrenders more rushing yards to quarterbacks than anyone through two weeks, and Lamar Jackson leads the NFL in play-action passing yards against a defense that allows separation on 70.6% of play-action snaps. Derrick Henry torched this group for 174 scrimmage yards two years ago.
Baltimore's defense offers no counterweight, having coughed up a 15-0 fourth quarter to New Orleans. Dak Prescott scored on seven of eight drives against Washington, and CeeDee Lamb plus George Pickens attack a secondary that Chris Olave already exposed.
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