Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction: Best NFL Player Props, First TD & Anytime TD Scorer Picks

The Kalshi promo code (ACTION55) is perfect to use on today's Week 6 clash between the winless Chargers and the unbeaten Chiefs, and this Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction rounds up our best NFL prop bets today.

• The Chargers arrive at 0-5 and still searching for their first win of the season, with Justin Herbert carrying most of the offensive workload through the air.
• The Chiefs are 4-0 and coming off their Week 5 bye, though Rashee Rice enters this one on a limited practice workload with a hamstring and knee issue.

Here is our full best NFL player props table before we break down every Editor's Pick, built around one of the best NFL prediction markets promos on the board today.

Read our dedicated Kalshi review to learn more about how the exchange operates, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

Best NFL Player Props for Chargers vs Chiefs: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks and More

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on Kalshi, part of our best NFL player props for this entire Week 6 matchup, pulled from one of the best prediction market apps covering the NFL this season.

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Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Kenneth Walker III

This is the trade we like most on today's full board.

Walker has handled 20-plus touches in every game this season, and the market gives him a 64% chance to find the end zone against a Chargers defense that's been gashed on the ground all year.

With Kansas City fresh off its bye and favored by more than a touchdown, game script should keep Walker heavily involved deep into the fourth quarter.

At 62 cents, a $100 buy is roughly 161 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.

• If Walker scores a touchdown: this ticket nets a return of $157.09.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

The safest anytime touchdown price on the board, and still worth more than half your stake back in pure profit.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Travis Kelce

Kelce remains Kansas City's most trusted red-zone target even in the twilight of his career, and with Rice limited, his share of the goal-line looks only increases.

The market gives him a 41% chance to find the end zone, a fair number for a tight end who still commands coverage attention inside the 10.

At 39 cents, $100 buys roughly 256 shares, with a listed payout of $245.89.

• If Kelce scores a touchdown: this ticket nets a return of $245.89.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

Right around 2.5-to-1 on the payout, a fair price for the Chiefs' most trusted red-zone option.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Xavier Worthy

Worthy's big-play speed gives him real touchdown equity on any given snap, and a shorthanded Chargers secondary makes a deep shot touchdown a live outcome all afternoon.

With Rice limited, Worthy should see a few more high-value targets inside the 20 than usual.

At 37 cents, $100 buys roughly 270 shares, with a listed payout of $258.83.

• If Worthy scores a touchdown: this ticket nets a return of $258.83.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

A real longshot price, but the payout here is more than 2.5x your stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Omarion Hampton

Hampton gets the Chargers' clearest path to the end zone today, even in a game his team is projected to lose.

The rookie has flashed enough goal-line work early in his career that a single score, even in a blowout, is a live outcome.

At 25 cents, $100 buys roughly 400 shares, with a listed payout of $380.04.

• If Hampton scores a touchdown: this ticket nets a return of $380.04.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

A true longshot price, but the payout here pays back nearly 4x your stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Keaton Mitchell

Mitchell's touchdown equity comes almost entirely from his role in the passing game, which makes a score a true longshot rather than an every-week outcome.

Still, his involvement in the screen and check-down game gives him a real, if thin, path to the end zone against a Chiefs defense that's had trouble containing backs out of the backfield.

At 16 cents, $100 buys roughly 625 shares, with a listed payout of $590.25.

• If Mitchell scores a touchdown: this ticket nets a return of $590.25.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

The deepest longshot on today's board, with a payout multiple of nearly 6-to-1.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Justin Herbert

Herbert is shouldering almost the entire Chargers offense right now, and a 175-yard floor is a modest number for a quarterback who has already cleared it in every start this season.

Kansas City's defense has been opportunistic, but it leans on pressure and takeaways rather than suffocating yardage, which keeps a short-to-intermediate passing game humming even on a losing afternoon.

At 64 cents, a $100 buy works out to roughly 156 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Herbert clears 175 passing yards: an estimated return of $156.25.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

It's the shortest price on the board today, but it still pays back well over half your stake in pure profit.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Patrick Mahomes

Mahomes comes off a bye week fully healthy and facing a Chargers defense that's been among the league's most generous through the air this season.

With Rashee Rice working through a hamstring and knee issue, Mahomes should spread the ball around more than usual, which keeps the yardage total climbing even without one clear focal point.

At 53 cents, $100 buys roughly 189 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.

• If Mahomes clears 225 passing yards: an estimated return of $188.68.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

Right around a coin flip, and the payout still covers nearly double your stake.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Omarion Hampton

Hampton is the clear lead back for a Chargers offense that will likely need to lean on the ground game to control the clock and keep this one from getting out of hand early.

Kansas City's run defense has had its moments, but a rookie carrying a real workload in a game his team is trailing in still has a path to a modest floor.

At 55 cents, a $100 buy is good for roughly 182 shares, with a listed payout of $176.25.

• If Hampton clears 30 rushing yards: this ticket nets a return of $176.25.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip number that still pays back more than 75% on top of your stake.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Kenneth Walker III

Ninety rushing yards is a real workload number, but Walker has cleared 20-plus touches every single week and the Chiefs should lean on the ground game to protect a lead on their home turf.

A Chargers defense that's 0-5 and allowing chunk runs all year is exactly the matchup to target for a ceiling rushing number like this.

At 53 cents, $100 buys roughly 189 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Walker clears 90 rushing yards: an estimated return of $188.68.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A real workload number, but the payout still covers nearly double your stake.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Keaton Mitchell

Mitchell has carved out a real role as a change-of-pace back out of the backfield, and a 15-yard receiving floor is a low bar for a player who sees check-down and screen work every week.

Kansas City's linebackers have had trouble staying attached to backs out of the backfield all season, which plays right into this kind of short-area role.

At 54 cents, $100 buys roughly 185 shares, with a listed payout of $179.40.

• If Mitchell clears 15 receiving yards: this ticket nets a return of $179.40.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip price that still returns close to 80% in pure profit.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Xavier Worthy

Worthy's speed makes him a one-play threat to clear 50 yards at any point in this game, and with Rice banged up, his target share only grows.

A Chargers secondary that's surrendered explosive plays all season is not an ideal matchup for slowing down a burner like Worthy.

At 49 cents, $100 buys roughly 204 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.

• If Worthy clears 50 receiving yards: an estimated return of $204.08.
• If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.

Just under a coin flip, and the payout here is more than double your stake.

Chargers vs Chiefs Moneyline, Spread and Total

Before the board dives into the full prop categories, here's where this Chargers vs Chiefs prediction stands on the base game lines today.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Our anytime touchdown scorer predictions below cover every player Kalshi has priced for this game, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Kenneth Walker III (KC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 61%): the clear workhorse for a Chiefs team protecting a lead at home.
• Travis Kelce (KC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 39%): still Kansas City's most trusted red-zone target.
• Xavier Worthy (KC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 36%): big-play speed gives him real touchdown equity.
• Omarion Hampton (LAC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 25%): the Chargers' clearest path to paydirt today.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 19%): sneak or scramble equity for Kansas City's quarterback.
• Keaton Mitchell (LAC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 16%): a change-of-pace role for the Chargers' backfield.
• Kimani Vidal (LAC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 15%): complementary backfield touches for Los Angeles.
• Justin Herbert (LAC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 14%): longshot sneak equity for the Chargers' quarterback.
• Emmett Johnson (LAC) (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 13%): deep in the Chargers' backfield rotation.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Here's the full first touchdown scorer board as well, where only one player on the field can cash.

• Kenneth Walker III (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 22%): the likeliest player on the board to find paydirt first.
• Travis Kelce (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 12%): a top red-zone look early in the game.
• Xavier Worthy (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 10%): a deep-shot threat on any given snap.
• Omarion Hampton (LAC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 8%): the Chargers' first crack at the end zone often runs through him.
• Jalen Royals (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): a rotational look in Kansas City's receiver room.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): scramble equity on an early-game sneak.
• Oronde Gadsden (LAC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 3%): a depth look for the Chargers.
• Justin Herbert (LAC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 3%): a true longshot sneak.
• Charlie Kolar (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 3%): a depth tight end look for Kansas City.
• Keaton Mitchell (LAC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 3%): a change-of-pace role for Los Angeles.
• Kimani Vidal (LAC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 3%): complementary backfield touches for the Chargers.
• Brashard Smith (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes 3¢): a thin-volume look behind Kansas City's lead backs.
• Nikko Remigio (KC) (First TD Scorer: Yes <1%): deep in Kansas City's receiver room.
• Derius Davis (LAC) (First TD Scorer: Yes <1%): a return specialist with a thin offensive role.
• Theo Wease Jr. (LAC) (First TD Scorer: Yes <1%): a depth receiver for Los Angeles.

What's Moving the Market

Prediction markets and prices move for a number of reasons, and this week it comes down to two things: Kansas City's bye-week rest advantage and a Chargers defense that's been generous against the run and through the air all season.

That gap shows up clearly in our anytime touchdown scorer predictions, which skew heavily toward Chiefs skill players across the board.

Rashee Rice's limited practice workload is also nudging extra target volume toward Xavier Worthy and Travis Kelce, which is reflected in their touchdown and yardage pricing above.

Meanwhile, the Chargers' winless start keeps their best players priced as true longshots rather than live favorites, even in spots where their individual talent would otherwise suggest a shorter number.

How to Trade This Board on Kalshi

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Final Thoughts: Best NFL Prop Bets Today

Kansas City looks like the better team across almost every number on today's board, fresh off a bye and facing a winless opponent that's been vulnerable on both sides of the ball.

Kenneth Walker III sits at the top of our best NFL player props for good reason, backed by a heavy workload and a Chargers run defense that's struggled all season, while longer shots like Omarion Hampton and Keaton Mitchell offer real leverage for traders chasing a bigger multiple.

That wraps our full Chargers vs Chiefs prediction and every best NFL prop bets today pick we'd make on today's Kalshi board.

Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction FAQs

Who wins the Chargers vs Chiefs prediction today? The Kalshi board favors Kansas City at 78% to win outright, with the Chiefs also laying 7.5 points on the spread as they look to move to 5-0.

What are the best NFL player props for this game? Our top plays lean on Kenneth Walker III's anytime touchdown price, Justin Herbert's passing yards floor, and the touchdown equity of Kansas City's skill players coming off the bye.

What is the best anytime touchdown scorer pick today? Kenneth Walker III sits atop the full anytime touchdown board at a 61% implied chance, with Travis Kelce as the next-safest option at Kansas City's top red-zone look.

How do I use the Kalshi promo code? Create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the current Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to unlock a trading bonus before kickoff.

Why are the Chiefs favored over the Chargers? Kansas City enters at 4-0 off a Week 5 bye, while Los Angeles is still searching for its first win of the season, which is reflected across the moneyline, spread, and total.

Is Rashee Rice playing for the Chiefs today? Rice has been dealing with a hamstring and knee issue and was a limited practice participant during the week, which is part of why Xavier Worthy and Travis Kelce carry extra weight on today's props board.

Are there other prediction markets to trade on this game? Yes. Beyond these player props, Kalshi has moneyline, spread, and total markets live for this matchup, plus coverage across the rest of today's NFL slate, so this board is just one slice of what's tradeable right now.