Dancing with the Stars heads into Dedication Night on Tuesday, with the 10 remaining couples honoring the people who shaped their lives instead of chasing a high-energy theme. It's historically a tearjerker week, and Kalshi traders have made their picks on who goes home when the results air at 8pm ET on October 20.
Who's Already Left the Ballroom: Season 35 Elimination Recap
- Premiere Night 1 (Sept. 15): Conner Leavitt & Adele Zaikman
- Premiere Night 2 (Sept. 16): Sarah Jane Nader & Hailey Bills
- Viral Hits Night (Sept. 22): Giada De Laurentiis & Alan Bersten
- Yacht Rock Night (Sept. 29): Taylor Hanson & Britt Stewart
- Mariah Carey Night (Oct. 6): Ciara Miller & Brandon Armstrong
- Super Bowl Night (Oct. 13):Guillermo Rodriguez & Witney Carson
DWTS Episode 7 Kalshi Odds: Top Trading Contracts
Kalshi's elimination market works like any other event contract: each couple gets a "Yes" (gets eliminated) and "No" (stays safe) price between 1 cent and 99 cents, and that price is a direct read of the implied probability traders assign to that outcome. Whichever couple is actually sent home when the results show airs settles its "Yes" contract at a dollar, and every other contract on the board goes to zero.
Six couples currently have active, visible pricing on the Week 7 board, with the rest of the 10-couple field trading too thin to post.
| 💃 Couple | 🏷️ Eliminated Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess | Tyler Cameron | Eliminated Yes (20¢) | $473.45 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jackson Olson & Emma Slater | Jackson Olson | Eliminated Yes (16¢) | $590.25 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik | Tatyana Ali | Eliminated Yes (10¢) | $940.70 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess (20%, Yes 20¢ / No 81¢, +1 pt)
Cameron is the favorite to go home for a second straight week, and the market is clearly gun-shy about it after getting burned on Super Bowl Night, when he opened as high as 50% only to watch Guillermo Rodriguez get eliminated instead. For Dedication Night, he and Sharna Burgess perform a contemporary routine to Ed Sheeran's "Supermarket Flowers," dedicated to mothers everywhere, after a Super Bowl Night score of 30/40 that left him mid-pack. Bachelor Nation's reach has kept him around longer than his scores alone would suggest, and traders are pricing that in by keeping his number well off last week's highs.
Jackson Olson & Emma Slater (16%, Yes 16¢ / No 85¢, +1 pt)
The Savannah Bananas player is once again the second-most likely elimination, a spot he's occupied for multiple weeks running. Olson posted a 31/40 on Super Bowl Night, his best score of the season, and dances a quickstep to Nat King Cole's "L-O-V-E" this week dedicated to his mom. Still, he's been a fixture near the bottom of the judges' leaderboard all season, which keeps the market from fully buying his recent improvement.
Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik (10%, Yes 10¢ / No 91¢, +5 pts)
Ali saw the week's single biggest jump in elimination risk, up 5 points to 10%. The Fresh Prince of Bel-Air alum scored 29/40 on Super Bowl Night, her best mark of the season, but she's historically been one of the lower scorers in the field and dances a Viennese waltz this week. With Guillermo's fan base now out of the voting pool, some of that vulnerability appears to be shifting her way.
Remaining couples:
- Connor Wood & Rylee Arnold (7%, no movement): Wood scored 25/40 on Super Bowl Night, his lowest of the season, and dances a Viennese waltz to Billy Joel's "Piano Man" honoring his father, but the market still treats him as safer than the three couples above him.
- Jenna Dewan & Val Chmerkovskiy (4%, +1 pt): Dewan has been atop or near the judges' leaderboard all season, including a season-high-tying 36/40 on Super Bowl Night, and her small uptick reflects market noise more than real danger.
- Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov (2%, no movement): The Olympic figure skater also posted a 34/40 on Super Bowl Night and remains one of the field's strongest performers, leaving her price barely above a rounding error.
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DWTS Episode 7 Price Analysis: Who Could Actually Get Eliminated?
The defining feature of this market right now isn't the favorite, it's how often the favorite has been wrong. Tyler Cameron has topped the elimination odds in back-to-back weeks and survived both times, most recently when he opened near 50% on Super Bowl Night and Guillermo Rodriguez went home instead. That track record is visible in the pricing itself: Cameron's current 20% is roughly 30 points lower than where he sat heading into last week's show, even though nothing about his standing has obviously improved.
Tatyana Ali's 5-point jump is the week's clearest repricing event, and it lines up with Guillermo's elimination removing a chunk of votes from the bottom of the field that may now be redistributing toward other lower scorers like Ali and Jackson Olson rather than toward Cameron specifically.
There's no runaway favorite here. The top three contracts are bunched between 10% and 20%, a contested read that matches a season where judges' scores and elimination results have repeatedly diverged. Dedication Night's emotional dances, tied to dads, moms, and lost loved ones, can also swing viewer votes in ways judges' scores don't capture, and that disconnect is exactly what's kept this market guessing all season.
What could still move the board before Tuesday's results show: Tuesday night's actual performances and scores, which aren't in yet, plus any late swing in viewer voting tied to the dedication storylines themselves.
How to Trade DWTS Episode 7 on Kalshi
Ready to take a position? You can start trading these event contracts in minutes.
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
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Disclaimer: Prediction markets provide real-time probability estimates based on traded contracts. These prices reflect market sentiment and are not a guarantee of future outcomes. Trading event contracts involves risk; ensure you understand the resolution criteria before taking a position.
