My Guardians vs. Rays prediction includes the best MLB player props today and best home run bets today for Game 1 of the ALCS. The Novig promo code (ACTION) is perfect to use on the Guardians and Rays showdown ahead of first pitch at 8 p.m. ET on TBS and truTV:
- The Guardians rallied from an 0-2 hole to win three straight over the White Sox and claim the ALDS, with Jose Ramirez heating up at the plate at the right time.
- The Rays swept the Yankees in the ALDS, own the best record in the American League, and get to open the ALCS at home on a full rest cycle.
Here's a look at some of my top Guardians vs Rays picks on the best prediction markets for ALCS Game 1.
| ⚾ ALCS Game 1 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foster Griffin (CLE) 5+ Strikeouts Thrown | No | 71.0% | $140.84 | Trade it on Novig! |
| Tampa Bay Rays Over 3.5 Team Total | Yes | 53.5% | $186.91 | Trade it on Novig! |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) 6+ Strikeouts Thrown | Yes | 49.0% | $204.08 | Trade it on Novig! |
| Cleveland Guardians Under 2.5 Team Total | No | 48.0% | $208.33 | Trade it on Novig! |
| Junior Caminero (TB) 2+ Total Bases | Yes | 43.0% | $232.55 | Trade it on Novig! |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) 1+ HR | Yes | 12.0% | $833.33 | Trade it on Novig! |
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Guardians vs. Rays Prediction: Best MLB Player Props Today
Below are real Guardians vs. Rays prediction markets I backed on Novig ahead of ALCS Game 1 this morning. If you want to see what else is out there, check out the best prediction market apps for more MLB coverage from Action Network today.
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Best Strikeouts Prop Today – Foster Griffin Under 5 Strikeouts Thrown
| ⚾ ALCS Game 1 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foster Griffin (CLE) 5+ Strikeouts Thrown | No | 71.0% | $140.84 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Griffin has been up and down in big spots this October, and Tampa's lineup is disciplined enough to work counts rather than chase. A start that keeps him under five strikeouts is the more likely outcome against a Rays team that ranked among the league's toughest to punch out all year.
Cleveland's bullpen depth also means the Guardians have been quick with the hook in high-leverage postseason games, which caps workload before he can rack up a big strikeout total.
This order bought the "No" side at 71.0%, putting $100 in for roughly 141 shares at that price.
- If the pick hits: returns $140.84 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's about a 1.4x payout multiple on a short-odds strikeout fade.
Best Team Total Prop Today – Tampa Bay Rays Over 3.5
| ⚾ ALCS Game 1 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays Over 3.5 Team Total | Yes | 53.5% | $186.91 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Tampa is at home with the lineup rolling after sweeping the Yankees, and Cleveland's starting pitching has been forced into short outings all series long.
Four runs is a modest bar for a Rays offense that's been getting on base in bunches, especially if Cleveland's bullpen has to cover extra innings after a quick hook.
This order bought the "Yes" side at 53.5%, putting $100 in for roughly 187 shares at that price.
- If the pick hits: returns $186.91 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's about a 1.87x payout multiple on the Rays clearing their team total.
Best Strikeouts Prop Today – Drew Rasmussen 6+ Strikeouts Thrown
| ⚾ ALCS Game 1 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) 6+ Strikeouts Thrown | Yes | 49.0% | $204.08 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Rasmussen shut down the Yankees in the ALDS opener and should have no shortage of swing-and-miss stuff against a Guardians lineup that strikes out at an above-average clip.
Pitching at home with a full rest cycle behind him, six strikeouts is right in his range if he works into the sixth or seventh inning as expected.
This order bought the "Yes" side at 49.0%, putting $100 in for roughly 204 shares at that price.
- If the pick hits: returns $204.08 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's about a 2.04x payout multiple on Rasmussen's strikeout total.
Best Team Total Prop Today – Cleveland Guardians Under 2.5
| ⚾ ALCS Game 1 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians Under 2.5 Team Total | No | 48.0% | $208.33 | Trade it now on Novig! |
The Guardians scored in bunches to close out the ALDS, but that offense also went cold for long stretches against Chicago before it broke through. Facing Rasmussen on the road adds another layer of difficulty.
Cleveland's lineup leans on contact and situational hitting rather than a reliable power threat, which makes their total under 2.5 runs a reasonable lean in a tougher road spot.
This order bought the "No" side at 48.0%, putting $100 in for roughly 208 shares at that price.
- If the pick hits: returns $208.33 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's about a 2.08x payout multiple on Cleveland staying under its team total.
Best Total Bases Prop Today – Junior Caminero 2+ Total Bases
| ⚾ ALCS Game 1 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) 2+ Total Bases | Yes | 43.0% | $232.55 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Caminero was a driving force in the ALDS sweep of the Yankees, and he hits in the middle of a Rays order that will see plenty of traffic on the bases against a taxed Cleveland pitching staff.
Two total bases only requires one extra-base hit or a pair of singles, a low bar for a hitter locked in at this stage of October.
This order bought the "Yes" side at 43.0%, putting $100 in for roughly 233 shares at that price.
- If the pick hits: returns $232.55 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's about a 2.33x payout multiple on Caminero's total bases prop.
Best Home Run Bets Today – Yandy Diaz 1+ Home Runs
| ⚾ ALCS Game 1 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) 1+ HR | Yes | 12.0% | $833.33 | Trade it now on Novig! |
Diaz isn't a classic power bat, but he's a line-drive hitter who finds gaps, and a mistake left up in the zone against a short-rested Cleveland staff can leave the yard.
At this price, this is a true longshot home run prop rather than a core lean, best treated as a small, high-upside piece of the overall Game 1 board.
This order bought the "Yes" side at 12.0%, putting $100 in for roughly 833 shares at that price.
- If the pick hits: returns $833.33 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's about an 8.33x payout multiple if Diaz goes deep.
Guardians vs. Rays Predictions on Moneyline, Spread and Total
| Pick | Price | Est. Return on $100 | Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB Moneyline | Yes | 60.5% | $165.28 | Trade it on Novig! |
| CLE Moneyline | Yes | 40.0% | $250.00 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB -1.5 | Yes | 42.0% | $238.09 | Trade it on Novig! |
| CLE +1.5 (TB -1.5 NO) | No | 58.5% | $170.94 | Trade it on Novig! |
| TB Moneyline (F5) | Yes | 61.5% | $162.60 | Trade it on Novig! |
| CLE Moneyline (F5) | Yes | 39.0% | $256.41 | Trade it on Novig! |
What's Moving the Market for Guardians vs. Rays: Home Run Predictions Today
Tampa Bay opened as the clear favorite across every line on the board, and the prices have only firmed up since the Guardians' bullpen got stretched thin closing out the ALDS.
The Rays also carry extra value as the moneyline favorite on both the full game and the First 5 Innings line, a sign the market expects Rasmussen to control the game early. My home run predictions today lean on Tampa's lineup depth working a short-rested Cleveland staff, which is also why the best home run bets today still point toward Rays hitters.
Cleveland's spread price sitting near 59% on the prediction markets hub shows plenty of respect for the Guardians' recent form, even with Tampa favored to win outright.
Expect these Guardians vs. Rays prediction prices to keep shifting up until the first pitch is thrown. Check your own MLB odds board again before locking in any Game 1 trade.
How to Trade on Novig
Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading on your first Guardians vs. Rays prediction:
- Read a comprehensive Novig review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Novig to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
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Final Thoughts: Best MLB Player Props Today and Home Run Predictions Today
Tampa enters ALCS Game 1 as the healthier, more rested team, and that edge shows up across the board in these Guardians vs. Rays prediction markets.
Cleveland's path to an upset runs through its lineup finding the same spark that carried it back from a 2-0 ALDS hole, but Rasmussen on the mound is a tough first test.
My best MLB player props today lean Tampa in the aggregate, and my home run predictions today still favor the Rays' lineup, while leaving room for value on Cleveland's pitching staff holding the Rays' bats in check.
FAQs
Who is favored in Guardians vs. Rays Game 1?
Tampa Bay is favored on the moneyline, the run line and the First 5 Innings line heading into ALCS Game 1 at home.
What time does Guardians vs. Rays Game 1 start?
First pitch for Game 1 of the ALCS is set for 8:00 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field, which is a factor I consider heavily before trading Guardians vs. Rays prediction markets.
How do I use promo code on Novig?
Create a Novig account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the promo code during sign-up to activate your trading bonus.
What is Novig?
Novig is a prediction market exchange where users trade contracts on sports outcomes, including player props, team totals and game lines.
Is Junior Caminero playing in Game 1 of the ALCS?
Yes, Caminero is expected to be in Tampa Bay's starting lineup for Game 1 after a strong ALDS performance against the Yankees.
Who is pitching Game 1 for the Rays?
Drew Rasmussen is lined up to start Game 1 for Tampa Bay after opening the ALDS against the Yankees.
Can I trade MLB player props on Novig during the game?
Yes, Novig's order book stays active throughout the game, so prices on live props continue to move as the action unfolds.
What are the best home run bets today for Guardians vs. Rays?
My best MLB player props today for this game include home run predictions today on Rays hitters facing a short-rested Cleveland pitching staff, alongside strikeout and team total props on both sides.
