NFL DFS picks for Week 6 start early Sunday, Oct. 18, with Texans vs. Jaguars at Wembley Stadium at 9:30 a.m. ET and run through Cowboys vs. Packers on Sunday Night Football. New users who sign up with the Underdog promo code TOPACTION and play $5 in qualifying entries get $100 in bonus cash.
There are 12 NFL games on Sunday's slate, and I've got one Higher or Lower pick for each matchup. Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami and Minnesota are on bye, while Washington vs. San Francisco closes Week 6 on Monday night. Check out the best NFL DFS picks I have below.
Week 6 Sunday NFL DFS Picks on Underdog
Underdog sets its own player projections, and those numbers for NFL DFS picks can move throughout the week. The picks below focus on the Higher or Lower side rather than a specific number, so check the current line in the app before submitting an entry.
Our NFL prop projections can provide another point of comparison. Make sure you check the NFL injury report before kickoff for any final availability changes before you make any picks.
| Game (ET) | Player | Stat | Higher/Lower |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans at Jaguars, 9:30 a.m. (London) | Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) | Receiving yards | Lower |
| Panthers at Eagles, 1 p.m. | Bryce Young (CAR) | Passing yards | Higher |
| Ravens at Browns, 1 p.m. | Derrick Henry (BAL) | Rushing yards | Higher |
| Bears at Falcons, 1 p.m. | Bijan Robinson (ATL) | Rushing yards | Higher |
| Saints at Giants, 1 p.m. | Malik Nabers (NYG) | Receiving yards | Higher |
| Jets at Patriots, 1 p.m. | Geno Smith (NYJ) | Passing yards | Lower |
| Steelers at Buccaneers, 1 p.m. | Jaylen Warren (PIT) | Receiving yards | Higher |
| Titans at Colts, 1 p.m. | Jonathan Taylor (IND) | Rushing yards | Higher |
| Cardinals at Rams, 4:05 p.m. | Puka Nacua (LAR) | Receptions | Higher |
| Bills at Raiders, 4:25 p.m. | James Cook (BUF) | Rushing yards | Higher |
| Chargers at Chiefs, 4:25 p.m. | Justin Herbert (LAC) | Passing yards | Lower |
| Cowboys at Packers, 8:20 p.m. | Jordan Love (GB) | Passing yards | Higher |
- Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards Lower: Thomas has nine catches for 105 yards on 18 targets through five games and was held without a catch against Philadelphia. Houston ranks ninth in yards per play allowed, while the game total sits in the low 40s.
- Bryce Young Passing Yards Higher: Young has thrown for at least 287 yards in every game this season. Philadelphia ranks 22nd in EPA per play, while Carolina's passing offense sits sixth in EPA per pass.
- Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Higher: Lamar Jackson remained sidelined at practice with an ankle injury this week. Henry handled 24 carries for 102 yards with Tyler Huntley starting last week, and Baltimore should continue leaning on the run if Jackson cannot return.
- Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Higher: Robinson has 580 rushing yards at 5.7 yards per carry and has topped 100 scrimmage yards in four of five games. Chicago allows 4.4 yards per carry and ranks 24th in EPA per rush.
- Malik Nabers Receiving Yards Higher: Nabers has 233 receiving yards and two touchdowns over his last two games, including a career-high 20 targets against Washington. New Orleans ranks 27th in EPA per pass.
- Geno Smith Passing Yards Lower: The Jets rank 26th in total offense, while New England sits sixth in total defense. Breece Hall and Adonai Mitchell also appeared on the injury report this week, creating additional concerns around New York's offense.
- Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Higher: Warren already has 19 catches for 230 yards. Tampa Bay has defended the run well by success rate, which could push Pittsburgh toward using Warren more often as a receiver.
- Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Higher: Taylor averages 20.2 carries per game and has six rushing touchdowns. Indianapolis is favored by about a touchdown against an 0-5 Tennessee team that ranks last in yards per play, creating a favorable rushing game script.
- Puka Nacua Receptions Higher: Nacua caught a career-high 17 passes for 138 yards against Buffalo on Monday. Arizona's defense has struggled throughout the season, giving Nacua another favorable volume matchup.
- James Cook Rushing Yards Higher: Cook rushed for 111 yards against the Rams, while Las Vegas has allowed one of the league's highest offensive success rates over its last three games. Buffalo should have opportunities to lean on Cook if it plays from ahead.
- Justin Herbert Passing Yards Lower: Herbert enters with five touchdowns, seven interceptions and a 59.4% completion rate. Rashawn Slater is on injured reserve, Tre Harris is doubtful, and Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston have also dealt with injuries. Kansas City ranks fourth in defensive success rate.
- Jordan Love Passing Yards Higher: Love threw for 367 yards against Chicago and now faces a Dallas defense allowing a league-worst 120.5 opponent passer rating and 8.3 yards per attempt.
NFL DFS Picks and the Underdog Promo Code Offer
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|---|---|---|
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