The Texans vs. Jaguars prediction markets open Sunday's NFL board before most of the country has finished breakfast. Houston and Jacksonville kick off at 9:30 a.m. ET from Wembley Stadium on NFL Network, with the Jaguars as the designated home team for the second week in a row. Jacksonville never left London after beating the Eagles at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, while Houston flew in this week at 1-4 and three games back in the AFC South.
My lean is that this one stays low. Two of the better defenses in the league, a wet and gusty afternoon in northwest London and an offense on each side that's missing a piece. New users can trade it with the Kalshi promo code ACTION55: trade $25 and Kalshi adds $55 in bonus credit.
The total is where I'm landing as my favorite NFL pick among Texans vs. Jaguars prediction markets. Kalshi has Over 42.5 points priced as a coin flip, so a No contract on that rung costs 50¢ and $100 returns about $200 if the game finishes with 42 points or fewer. The full Kalshi NFL odds board and the reasoning are below.
Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction Markets: Kalshi Prices for London
Prices are the Yes ask on Kalshi as of 3:01 p.m. ET on Friday, Oct. 16. A No contract on best prediction market apps costs roughly 100¢ minus the Yes price. Returns are before fees, and the numbers will move through the weekend, so check the app before you trade.
Game winner
| Contract | Yes Price | $100 Returns About | Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville to win | 57¢ | $175 | ACTION55 |
| Houston to win | 44¢ | $227 | ACTION55 |
Spread rungs
| Contract | Yes Price | $100 Returns About | Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville wins by over 2.5 points | 53¢ | $189 | ACTION55 |
| Jacksonville wins by over 3.5 points | 43¢ | $233 | ACTION55 |
| Jacksonville wins by over 6.5 points | 35¢ | $286 | ACTION55 |
| Houston wins by over 1.5 points | 41¢ | $244 | ACTION55 |
| Houston wins by over 2.5 points | 39¢ | $256 | ACTION55 |
Total points rungs
| Contract | Yes Price | $100 Returns About | Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 points | 57¢ | $175 | ACTION55 |
| Over 42.5 points | 51¢ | $196 | ACTION55 |
| Over 43.5 points | 46¢ | $217 | ACTION55 |
| Over 45.5 points | 41¢ | $244 | ACTION55 |
| Over 48.5 points | 34¢ | $294 | ACTION55 |
| No on Over 42.5 points (my pick) | 50¢ | $200 | ACTION55 |
The spread ladder tells you the market sees a field-goal game. Jacksonville by more than 2.5 sits at 53¢, barely above even, and the price drops 10¢ as soon as you need the Jaguars to win by four. The most heavily traded total rungs are 42.5 and 43.5, which puts the market's number right around 43.
Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction
Jacksonville has earned the favorite's price at 4-1, but the stronger angle is the total. The Jaguars rank third in defensive DVOA and allow just 2.93 yards per carry, while Houston averages only 79 rushing yards per game and will be without David Montgomery.
C.J. Stroud has protected the football well, but Houston's offense has been limited by injuries and now leans heavily on Nico Collins. Jacksonville has similar issues creating explosive plays, especially with left tackle Anton Harrison on injured reserve and Houston bringing one of the league's best pass rushes behind Will Anderson Jr.
The weather also favors a lower-scoring game, with showers and strong wind expected at Wembley. Add two top-10 defenses and limited rushing upside on both sides, and sustained drives should be difficult.
- Texans vs. Jaguars prediction: Under 42.5 total points (No on Over 42.5 at 50¢, $100 returns about $200)
I project something close to Jaguars 20, Texans 16. Jacksonville is also a reasonable side at 57¢ to win, but the Under is the cleaner position.
Kalshi Promo Code ACTION55 Full Offer Details for Texans vs. Jaguars
| Detail | Value |
|---|---|
| New User Offer | Trade $25, Get $55! |
| Promo Code | ACTION55 |
| Offer Type | Trade-and-get |
| Minimum to Qualify | $25 in trades |
| Reward | $55 in bonus credit |
| Available States | AK, AL, AR, CA, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, GA, HI, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, ME, MN, MO, MS, NC, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VT, WI, WV, WY |
| Last Verified | October 12, 2026 |
Texas and Florida are both on the list for Kalshi promo code ACTION55, so fans on either side of this one can claim it. Kalshi isn't available in Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Ohio or Washington.
The mechanics are easy. Make $25 in trades, and Kalshi adds $55 to your account. Your first trade doesn't need to win. Each contract trades between 1¢ and 99¢, pays $1 if it hits and nothing if it misses, and the price is set by other traders rather than a house margin. You can also sell before the final whistle, so if the Under looks safe at halftime you can take profit early. Our page on NFL prediction market promos has the other offers running this weekend.
How to Claim the Kalshi Promo Code ACTION55 for Texans vs. Jaguars
- Click this Kalshi promo code ACTION55 link to open Kalshi's sign-up page with the code already attached.
- Create your account with your name, email and date of birth, and confirm you're 18 or older.
- Verify your identity so the account is cleared to trade.
- Deposit enough to cover your first $25 in trades.
- Trade $25 on Texans vs. Jaguars or any other eligible market, and the $55 bonus credit lands in your account.
The offer is for new Kalshi users in eligible states. If you've never placed a limit order, our guide on how to bet on Kalshi covers it before Sunday morning.
Conclusion
The Texans vs. Jaguars prediction markets have Jacksonville a modest favorite and the total sitting right on 43. I agree with the favorite and disagree with the total. A Jaguars defense that shuts down the run, a Texans pass rush going after a reshuffled left side and a soggy London afternoon all point to a game in the 30s. Buy No on Over 42.5 at 50¢, and use the Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get $55 in credit for your $25.
Terms and Conditions
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
