Thursday Night Football is back, and these TNF touchdown scorer props for Bucs vs. Cowboys are built around the live NFL board on Kalshi heading into Week 5.
Tampa Bay is 0-4 without Baker Mayfield, and second-year passer Jalon Daniels gets his second career start under center tonight, while Dallas arrives 2-2 off a statement road win over the Texans. Our full Bucs vs. Cowboys breakdown covers the complete game outlook, but this piece focuses strictly on who finds the end zone tonight.
We've pulled the full anytime and first touchdown scorer board into one place below, ranked by anytime price, so you can see where the market is leaning before kickoff at 8:15 PM ET on Prime Video. Every trade below is a real position we'd take after reading our Kalshi review and redeeming the Kalshi promo code ACTION2000. For the full menu of current offers, check our best prediction market promos page, our best prediction market apps rankings, or the prediction markets hub for every sport trading tonight.
| 🏈 Player | 🏷️ Anytime TD Yes | 🥇 First TD Yes | 🤑 Profit on $100 (Anytime) | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (DAL) | 66¢ | 22¢ | $51.52 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 48¢ | 14¢ | $108.33 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Bucky Irving (TB) | 32¢ | 8¢ | $212.50 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jalon Daniels (TB) | 25¢ | 5¢ | $300.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Sean Tucker (TB) | 18¢ | 3¢ | $455.56 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 15¢ | 4¢ | $566.67 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
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Bucs vs. Cowboys Touchdown Scorer Props
Tampa Bay heads into tonight 0-4 without Baker Mayfield, and Jalon Daniels' second career start is the biggest variable on this board. Dallas arrives after a road win over Houston, with CeeDee Lamb, Javonte Williams, and Bucky Irving all carrying real touchdown equity across both offenses.
Javonte Williams Touchdown Props
| 🏈 Player | 🏷️ Anytime TD Yes | 🥇 First TD Yes | 🤑 Profit on $100 (Anytime) | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (DAL) | 66¢ | 22¢ | $51.52 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Williams is Dallas' clear lead back, and with Tampa Bay starting a backup quarterback and leaning on its defense to keep this one close, the Cowboys' likeliest path to points tonight runs through the ground game inside the five-yard line.
At 66¢, a $100 buy gets roughly 151.5 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Williams scores: the trade resolves Yes and pays out $51.52 in profit on the $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the position resolves No and you lose the full $100 stake, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
The shortest price on both boards, and the safest way onto the Dallas offense tonight. The 22¢ first touchdown price offers the more interesting side of his board.
CeeDee Lamb Touchdown Props
| 🏈 Player | 🏷️ Anytime TD Yes | 🥇 First TD Yes | 🤑 Profit on $100 (Anytime) | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 48¢ | 14¢ | $108.33 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Lamb remains Dallas' clear No. 1 target and the focal point of the passing game regardless of script, and a Tampa Bay secondary already dealing with its own injuries tonight gives him a real path to the end zone.
A $100 buy at 48¢ gets roughly 208.3 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Lamb scores: the trade resolves Yes and pays out $108.33 in profit on the $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the position resolves No and you lose the full $100 stake.
The first name on this board priced below 50¢ that still pays out over even money.
Bucky Irving Touchdown Props
| 🏈 Player | 🏷️ Anytime TD Yes | 🥇 First TD Yes | 🤑 Profit on $100 (Anytime) | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (TB) | 32¢ | 8¢ | $212.50 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Irving is Tampa Bay's lead back, and with Jalon Daniels making just his second career start, the Bucs most likely run the offense through the ground game rather than ask a young quarterback to carry the night through the air.
A $100 buy at 32¢ gets roughly 312.5 shares.
- If Irving scores: the trade resolves Yes and pays out $212.50 in profit on the $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: you lose the full stake, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
More than 2-to-1 on the payout, and the clearest touchdown equity on Tampa Bay's side of this game.
Jalon Daniels Touchdown Props
| 🏈 Player | 🏷️ Anytime TD Yes | 🥇 First TD Yes | 🤑 Profit on $100 (Anytime) | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon Daniels (TB) | 25¢ | 5¢ | $300.00 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Daniels gets his second career start tonight with Baker Mayfield still out, and a mobile quarterback facing a defense that's had extra time to prepare for the ground game always carries real scramble-and-sneak equity near the goal line.
A $100 buy at 25¢ gets roughly 400 shares.
- If Daniels scores: the trade resolves Yes and pays out $300.00 in profit on the $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the position resolves No and you lose the full $100 stake.
A 4x payout multiple on a young passer who's shown he's not afraid to tuck it and run.
Sean Tucker Touchdown Props
| 🏈 Player | 🏷️ Anytime TD Yes | 🥇 First TD Yes | 🤑 Profit on $100 (Anytime) | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Tucker (TB) | 18¢ | 3¢ | $455.56 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Tucker sits behind Irving in Tampa Bay's backfield, but a committee looks to Daniels under center, opening the door for change-of-pace work near the goal line if the starter needs a breather.
A $100 buy at 18¢ gets roughly 555.6 shares.
- If Tucker scores: the trade resolves Yes and pays out $455.56 in profit on the $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: you lose the full stake.
A longer-shot swing, but more than 4.5-to-1 on the payout for a complementary back with real goal-line upside.
Dak Prescott Touchdown Props
| 🏈 Player | 🏷️ Anytime TD Yes | 🥇 First TD Yes | 🤑 Profit on $100 (Anytime) | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 15¢ | 4¢ | $566.67 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Quarterback sneak and scramble touchdowns are always long shots, but Dallas' offensive line has been reliable near the goal line, giving Prescott a sneak opportunity if the Cowboys stall in short yardage.
A $100 buy at 15¢ gets roughly 666.7 shares.
- If Prescott scores: the trade resolves Yes and pays out $566.67 in profit on the $100 stake.
- If he doesn't: the position resolves No and you lose the full $100 stake.
The deepest long shot on the board tonight, paying out nearly 5.7x your stake.
NFL Touchdown Predictions Tonight: What's Moving the Market
Tampa Bay heads into tonight 0-4 without Baker Mayfield, and Jalon Daniels making just his second career start is the biggest variable on this board — a young, mobile quarterback typically pulls more rushing-touchdown equity toward himself and his backfield than a traditional pocket passer does.
Dallas, meanwhile, arrives after a road win over Houston, and with CeeDee Lamb and Javonte Williams both plus Bucky Irving on the other side, real touchdown equity spreads across both offenses rather than sitting with one clear favorite.
That mix of a shorter-priced favorite in Williams, a split-field equity play in Lamb, and real value further down the board in Irving, Daniels, Tucker and Prescott makes tonight's TNF touchdown scorer props worth a full scan before kickoff.
Use Kalshi Promo Code ACTION2000 to Trade TNF Touchdown Props
Ready to take a position on tonight's touchdown scorer props? You can start trading these event contracts in minutes.
- Read our comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of live order book movements as kickoff approaches across the prediction markets hub.
Don't forget to use promo code ACTION2000 when signing up.
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
TNF Touchdown Scorer Props: Final Thoughts
Jalon Daniels' second career start shapes the storyline on this entire board, and it's exactly why Tampa Bay's backfield and quarterback both carry real touchdown equity tonight alongside Dallas' top three skill players. Williams and Lamb sit atop the board as the safest entries, while Irving, Daniels, Tucker, and Prescott offer real leverage for traders chasing a bigger multiple.
TNF Touchdown Scorer Props FAQs
What is the Kalshi promo code for tonight's Bucs vs. Cowboys game?
The current Kalshi promo code is ACTION2000, available to new users signing up ahead of tonight's TNF touchdown scorer props.
Who is favored to score a touchdown in Bucs vs. Cowboys tonight?
Javonte Williams carries the highest implied probability on the anytime board at 66¢, followed by CeeDee Lamb at 48¢.
Who is most likely to score the first touchdown tonight?
Williams also leads the first-touchdown market at 22¢, followed by Lamb at 14¢ and Bucky Irving at 8¢.
Why is Jalon Daniels starting for the Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay is 0-4 without Baker Mayfield, and Daniels makes his second career start tonight, a key factor in how the market prices Tampa Bay's rushing touchdown props.
How do touchdown scorer contracts work on Kalshi?
Each Anytime TD contract resolves Yes if the named player scores at least one touchdown in the game, and No if he doesn't. A First TD contract resolves Yes only if that player scores the game's opening touchdown. Shares bought at a given price pay out $1 each on a Yes resolution, and nothing on a No.
When does tonight's TD scorer market resolve?
Each contract settles shortly after the game ends, and Kalshi grades it against official NFL box score data.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
