2024 NFL Draft Odds: Mock Using Sportsbook Lines for Top 10

2024 NFL Draft Odds: Mock Using Sportsbook Lines for Top 10 article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Jayden Daniels (left), Drake Maye (left center), Marvin Harrison Jr. (right center) and Dallas Turner.

At this point in the buildup to the 2024 NFL Draft, those paying close attention know what the needs for every team in the top 10 are. There are three — maybe four — quarterbacks who will be picked early on Thursday night, followed by three stud wide receivers, a very tantalizing tight end prospect, a strong crop of offensive tackles and some promising defensive linemen.

The 2024 NFL Draft odds give us an idea of what's expected for every team. Below, I've laid out a mock draft of the top 10 using the favorite at every pick. I was forced to not use the favorite only once (No. 6 overall) because that player was already taken.

Get an idea of what to expect early on Thursday night in the NFL Draft below. I used FanDuel's odds as of 12:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday afternoon.

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2024 NFL Draft Odds: Mock Using Sportsbook Lines for Top 10

1. QB Caleb Williams (USC)

Chicago Bears (via Carolina Panthers)

Caleb WilliamsUSC-20000
Jayden DanielsLSU+7500
Drake MayeUNC+9500
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+10000
Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State+20000

No point wasting our time here. We all have important things to do today, so let's move on.

2. QB Jayden Daniels (LSU)

Washington Commanders

Jayden DanielsLSU-450
Drake MayeUNC+400
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+1000
Caleb WilliamsUSC+10000

Most of the rumblings on Twitter and throughout the media is that the Commanders prefer Daniels to Maye. Adam Schefter went as far as to say that Washington fans could start printing their jerseys with Daniels' name on the back.

Still, there hasn't been anything definite reported.

3. QB Drake Maye (North Carolina)

New England Patriots

Drake MayeUNC-290
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+430
Jayden DanielsLSU+480
Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State+3100

There hasn't been much reported about the Patriots' preference at No. 3. Heck, there have even been rumors that New England is looking to trade down.

The Patriots don't have a general manager, and the draft is being run by director of scouting Eliot Wolf. People can reasonably gather that owner Robert Kraft is playing a big hand in this draft. New England has already traded Mac Jones and given Bailey Zappe multiple chances to win the job as the starter in the past. Kraft, and the fanbase, will be expecting a quarterback taken with the Patriots' first pick.

Whether that pick is at No. 3 or later remains to be seen.

4. WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (Ohio State)

Arizona Cardinals

Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State-220
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+350
Drake MayeUNC+700
Malik NabersLSU+1600
Jayden DanielsLSU+2500
Rome OdunzeWashington+5000
Joe AltNotre Dame+7500

Aside from Williams going first overall, this is the biggest slam dunk of the top 10 — if Arizona doesn't trade the pick.

If the Cardinals stay at No. 4, they likely take whoever they think is the best wide receiver of Marvin Harrison Jr. or Malik Nabers. Arizona took Paris Johnson Jr. with its first pick last year, and the chances of taking two offensive tackles in the top 10 in back-to-back years seems unlikely.

There is a chance, though, that a team overwhelms Arizona and makes an offer it can't refuse to trade up for J.J. McCarthy or whoever they see as the best QB available.

5. WR Malik Nabers (LSU)

Los Angeles Chargers

Malik NabersLSU+230
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+320
Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State+340
Joe AltNotre Dame+430
Drake MayeUNC+1900
JC LathamAlabama+2600
Jayden DanielsLSU+2900
Rome OdunzeWashington+2900
Taliese FuagaOregon State+4000
Troy FautanuWashington+5000
Olu FashanuPenn State+5000
Brock BowersGeorgia+5000
Dallas TurnerAlabama+7500
Quinyon MitchellToledo+9500
Amarius MimsGeorgia+9500

Assuming Arizona stays at No. 4, here's where things get really interesting.

Jim Harbaugh has taken over and obviously doesn't need a quarterback. It'd make sense that the Chargers would take either Nabers or Harrison, maybe even Odunze, if they keep the pick after getting rid of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. Also, Harbaugh has emphasized the importance of the offensive line this offseason, so an offensive tackle could make sense.

The Chargers roster has many holes, though, so trading back with a team that wants a quarterback, if any of the top four are available, would make sense.

Nabers is favored to go fifth, but clearly there's a lot of uncertainty.

6. WR Rome Odunze (Washington)

New York Giants

Malik NabersLSU+170
Rome OdunzeWashington+300
Joe AltNotre Dame+500
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+550
Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State+1200
Drake MayeUNC+2200
Jayden DanielsLSU+2700
Taliese FuagaWashington+4000
Quinyon MitchellToledo+4000
Olu FashanuPenn State+4500
JC LathamAlabama+6000
Terrion ArnoldAlabama+6000
Brock BowersGeorgia+8000
Michael Penix Jr.Washington+8000

The Giants need weapons on offense after losing Saquon Barkley. There's no running back that appears worthy of being taken sixth overall, so wide receiver makes sense. Nabers is favored here but he went fifth in this exercise, so Odunze is the pick.

New York, though, might also want a quarterback. If no one trades up for the fourth quarterback at Nos. 4 or 5, maybe the Giants pull the trigger on McCarthy.

7. OT Joe Alt (Notre Dame)

Tennessee Titans

Joe AltNotre Dame-150
Rome OdunzeWashington+600
Malik NabersLSU+850
JC LathamAlabama+1400
Taliese FuagaOregon State+1600
Olu FashanuPenn State+1800
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+2000
Dallas TurnerAlabama+3000
Troy FautanuWashington+3000
Brock BowersGeorgia+3300
Amarius MimsGeorgia+5000
Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State+6000
Jared VerseFlorida State+6000

The third-biggest favorite in the top 10 is Alt to go to the Titans.

Tennessee just paid Calvin Ridley and still has DeAndre Hopkins, so a wide receiver doesn't make sense. Protecting Will Levis, or whoever lines up under center, was an issue last season, so offensive lineman makes sense. Alt is the consensus best tackle in the draft, so he goes here.

8. DE Laiatu Latu (UCLA)/DE Dallas Turner (Alabama)

Atlanta Falcons

Laiatu LatuUCLA+250
Dallas TurnerAlabama+250
Rome OdunzeWashington+650
Byron Murphy IITexas+650
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+1400
Jared VerseFlorida State+1400
Quinyon MitchellToledo+1400
Malik NabersLSU+2400
Terrion ArnoldAlabama+2400
Joe AltNotre Dame+4000
Brock BowersGeorgia+5000
Nate WigginsClemson+7500
Bo NixOregon+7500
Michael Penix Jr.Washington+7500

I included both Latu and Turner because neither is going to be the pick at Nos. 9 or 10.

The consensus here after three straight years of taking offensive skill players in the top 10 is that the Falcons will go defense. There are two edge rushers on the board for them to pick from, as well as Murphy, whose stock has risen this week.

9. WR Byron Murphy II (Texas)

Chicago Bears

Byron Murphy IITexas+155
Rome OdunzeWashington+320
Jared VerseFlorida State+1000
Dallas TurnerAlabama+1200
Joe AltNotre Dame+1400
Laiatu LatuUCLA+1400
Brock BowersGeorgia+2000
JC LathamAlabama+2000
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+2500
Taliese FuagaOregon State+3500
Malik NabersLSU+3500
Troy FautanuWashington+3500
Olu FashanuPenn State+3500
Quinyon MitchellToledo+5000
Xavier WorthyTexas+6000
Jer'Zhan NewtonIllinois+7500
Terrion ArnoldAlabama+8000

Speaking of Murphy, he's the pick here.

Earlier in the week, Odunze was the favorite to go here to Chicago. Murphy has gotten a lot of hype from NFL insiders, though, and is now +155, which really catches your eye as a low number for this late in the draft.

I say that and the next pick has a lower plus number.

10. TE Brock Bowers (Georgia)

New York Jets

Brock BowersGeorgia+150
Olu FashanuPenn State+1000
Troy FautanuWashington+1000
Taliese FuagaOregon State+1000
Rome OdunzeWashington+1200
JC LathamAlabama+1300
Laiatu LatuUCLA+1400
Joe AltNotre Dame+1600
Dallas TurnerAlabama+12500
Quinyon MitchellToledo+3000
Terrion ArnoldAlabama+3500
Malik NabersLSU+3500
J.J. McCarthyMichigan+3500
Brian Thomas Jr.LSU+3500
Byron Murphy IITexas+5000
Bo NixOregon+5000
Amarius MimsGeorgia+5000
Jared VerseFlorida State+5000
Michael Penix Jr.Washington+7500

The consensus here is that the Jets are all-in for this season, so adding a weapon for Aaron Rodgers is what they'll try to do.

New York added veteran offensive tackles Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses to sizable one-year contracts in the offseason, so it's likely to avoid taking one of the many potential OTs here, although it might make sense over the long haul. Fashanu, Fautanu, Fuaga or Latham would all make sense here, assuming Alt is gone.

If the Jets really are all-in on giving Rodgers weapons for this season, it would make sense if they're aggressive in trying to trade up for Odunze.

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