A Bengals vs. Chiefs Same-Game Parlay To Bet For AFC Championship of 2022 NFL Playoffs
Rob Carr/Getty Images. Pictured: Tee Higgins.
In the first matchup between these teams, the Chiefs jumped ahead early, but Cincinnati would fight back and win. After seeing how explosive the Chiefs can be, the Bengals know they can’t waste any opportunity.
This will push them to put the ball in Joe Burrow’s hands and be more aggressive early in the game. Let’s see if we can build a parlay around Cincinnati pushing the envelope and looking to score.
A full breakdown of this game can be found here.
Should you bet same-game parlays? We outline all the factors you should consider when betting same-game parlays here.
Bengals-Chiefs Same-Game Parlay
Prop 1: Bengals +10.5 (-160)
This pick follows the same idea as my guide for this game. The Bengals offense has one of the best young quarterbacks in the game and too much talent for the Chiefs to cover outside. They should have no problem moving the ball up and down the field.
The problem they will face is Chris Jones and the Chiefs defensive front. Cincinnati has proven its offensive line is its Achilles heel, and Jones lines up across from its weak link. The drives where Jones makes something happen will be the difference in this one. His sacks will be the difference between touchdowns and field goals.
Fortunately, the spread is huge at +7 to +7.5 for the game (check real-time NFL odds here), so it is fairly cheap to buy the extra field goal. Cincinnati’s offense is too talented, so even if it is down by more late, it will snag a touchdown to cover.
Prop 2: Over 47.5 (-250)
If the Bengals come out aggressive and the Chiefs play to their standard, this number will be smashed. However, like above, it is better to be safe than sorry. The only fear here is that the Bengals play as they did in the first game, starting conservatively before hitting the gas once they have fallen behind. This lower amount should give us the cushion we need if that is the case.
The good news for betting an over with these two teams is they can score quickly. The Chiefs have speedsters Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman to convert any play into a touchdown. The Bengals have Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Even if this game does start slower than expected, things could get out of hand quickly thanks to those playmakers.
Prop 3 & 4: Tee Higgins Anytime Touchdown (+107) & Tee Higgins Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Ja’Marr Chase ripped the Chiefs to shreds in their first matchup and has been a menace in the playoffs so far. The thought here is that Kansas City will have an over-correction as a result. It will double-cover Chase or shade a safety his way. This will create opportunities for Tee Higgins on the other side.
Higgins had his time as the lead receiver for the Bengals when teams focused on Chase in the middle of the season. This led to several games with more than 100 yards and four total touchdowns. He may not be at the same level as Chase, but Higgins is good enough to beat any Chiefs corner one-on-one. Higgins is currently PFF’s 10th-highest graded wide receiver, and it is now his turn to have a monster game.
Prop 5: Joe Burrow Under 8.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
This prop comes courtesy of our PRO Top Props as it has an A+ grade and edge of +22.5%. Burrow has only eclipsed this mark five times on the year and it will be hard to run the ball Sunday. With Chris Jones pressuring from the middle and the combination of Melvin Ingram and Frank Clark outside, escape lanes will be limited for Burrow.
The Chiefs will also have learned their lesson after facing Josh Allen, in that their focus should be on not letting Burrow scramble instead of going for the kill — a sack. Allen broke out of several near sacks that way and turned what should have been a loss into a big gain. Burrow is not the athlete Allen is though. Between the weak offensive line and added discipline, the Chiefs should be able to prevent Burrow from beating them on the ground.
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