Bettor Loses Nearly $100K Parlay After Chiefs’ Harrison Butker Misses PAT
The parlay combined two “correct score” bets, which aren’t the best types of wagers. They almost always guarantee negative expected value.
The bettor, who goes by vdeceives_ on Instagram, wagered that the Titans would beat the Broncos 17-10 and the Chiefs would beat the Jaguars 28-17 on Sunday afternoon. Both games had 1 p.m. ET kickoffs.
This bettor was a Chiefs missed extra point away from turning $5 into $99K 😱
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) November 14, 2022
A Titans field goal with 2:59 remaining made it 17-10. After Russell Wilson threw a pick on 4th-and-8 to end that game, all eyes were on Jaguars vs. Chiefs.
In the second quarter, the Chiefs took a 20-7 lead on a Noah Gray TD grab with under a minute to go in the half.
Butker — who had made 94% of his career PATs to that point — shanked the kick. For reference, that implies the odds Butker would make that extra point attempt were roughly -1650.
The Chiefs added another touchdown in the third quarter — but didn’t go for two, which would have made the score Chiefs 28, Jaguars 10. Butker sunk this PAT to make the score 27-10, Chiefs.
The Jaguars scored a touchdown to make it 27-17 with a few minutes remaining. That’s how the score would end — leaving the bettor empty by a single point.
Ordinarily, a bettor would be able to hedge a parlay with odds that ridiculous for a guaranteed profit — for instance, any point spread or player prop can be hedged live, if the bettor was interested in taking certain gains.
There’s no way to do so for correct score props. There is also no cash out option for these types of parlays.