Cardinals vs Seahawks: NFL Week 6 Odds & Picks

Cardinals vs Seahawks: NFL Week 6 Odds & Picks article feature image
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Norm Hall/Getty Images. Pictured: Eno Benjamin.

  • The Cardinals take on the NFL's best offense today in Seattle.
  • Geno Smith has been excellent this season, but the Seahawks are still 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Sam Farley previews the game and breaks down which player prop he's betting below.

Cardinals vs. Seahawks Odds

Sunday, Oct. 16
4:05 p.m. ET
FOX
Cardinals Odds-2.5
Seahawks Odds+2.5
Moneyline-142 / +120
Over/Under50.5
Odds via FanDuel.

The Cardinals travel to Seattle to face a Seahawks team that has been quite a mystery this season.

Pete Carroll let Russell Wilson leave the Seahawks and cook up a mess in Denver. Meanwhile, the Seahawks handed the offense over to Geno Smith, who is playing better than ever this season.

Let's break the matchup down and look for an edge in the props market.

Cardinals vs. Seahawks Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Cardinals and Seahawks match up statistically:

Cardinals vs. Seahawks DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA2331
Pass DVOA2331
Rush DVOA1624
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA126
Pass DVOA127
Rush DVOA1212

The Cardinals come into this NFC West clash with the same record as both the Rams and Seahawks, but they've been excellent on the road. In fact, both of the Cardinals wins have come away from home.

Kyler Murray is the key to the Cardinals' hopes this season, and he's formed a great connection with Marquise Brown, who leads the team in scrimmage yards. With DeAndre Hopkins suspended, the burden of receiving duties has been spread around and Zach Ertz and Greg Dortch have established themselves as Murray's second and third options.

Rondale Moore has shown glimmers of his ability for the Cardinals, but this could be the week he blows up as he faces Coby Bryant, a weak link in the Seahawks secondary.


Bet at FanDuel
Cardinals -2.5 | Seahawks +2.5


It really can't be understated just how good Smith has been for the Seahawks. He's playing at a level far higher than Wilson is in Denver and is the poster boy for quarterback success being based on landing spot and not talent.

Geno Smith has a lower "off target" rate than both Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes this season. In fact, he has the lowest "off target" rate in the NFL, and his receivers are excelling because of it.

Tyler Lockett leads the team in yards despite being narrowly behind DK Metcalf in targets. They've both hauled in two touchdowns and are trailing Will Dissly, who despite just 15 targets this season has scored three times.

Rashaad Penny's injury has given Kenneth Walker the role as the lead back, and the rookie took advantage last week as he amassed 88 yards on just eight carries last week.

Betting Picks

Walker has benefited from Penny's injury, and it looks like Eno Benjamin could be the man to benefit from James Conner's rib injury. We don't know how long Benjamin will be the lead back, but a game against the Seahawks is the perfect place to start trying to get himself stuck into that role.

Benjamin only managed 3.1 yards per carry (25 yards on eight carries) against the Eagles last week, but Philadelphia has one of the best rush defenses. That can't be said for the Seahawks, a team that has allowed 851 yards on the ground through five games, the most in the league. That's an average of 170.2 yards per game.

Benjamin's rushing line for this game sits at 61.5 yards. While Kliff Kingsbury isn't known for a punishing ground game, running the ball will almost certainly be part of the game plan on Sunday given the Seahawks' defensive deficiencies.

I'm obviously on the over on that rushing total, but I'd aim higher and take him to get more than 75 rushing yards at +190 at bet365.

Picks
Eno Benjamin Over 61.5 Rushing Yards
Eno Benjamin: 75 or More Rushing Yards (+190 at Bet365) 

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