Chargers v. Eagles NFL Player Props: Bettors Love These 3 Los Angeles Offense Props (Sunday, Nov. 7)

Chargers v. Eagles NFL Player Props: Bettors Love These 3 Los Angeles Offense Props (Sunday, Nov. 7) article feature image
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Pictures by Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Herbert, Mike Williams.

  • Bettors are hammering three props associated with the Los Angeles Chargers offense for their game against the Eagles on Sunday.

The Los Angeles Chargers will travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET.

The Chargers are two-point favorites at PointsBet as of Friday night, with the moneyline netting them -130.

There is definitely value on the Chargers overall. They’re coming off of two straight losses and have the far better personnel on both sides of the ball.

The Chargers have the 12th best defense and 12th best offense in the NFL according to Football Outsiders.

And yet Los Angeles are only two-point favorites.

It seems like the public agrees. At BetMGM, about 90% of the public money is on the Chargers -2 — an absurd amount and by far the biggest handle on the Week 9 slate.

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Bettors are also hammering these three prop bets associated with the Chargers offense.

The most wagered-on player props at the sportsbook, in order, are as follows.

Chargers v. Eagles Most Popular Player Props

  1. The Chargers be the first team to record 10 points (-135)
  2. The Chargers will be last team to record a score (-120)
  3. The first drive of the game — irrespective of team — will result in a touchdown (+250)

All odds and data are according to PointsBet.

The Chargers have hit 10 points before their opponent in four out of seven contests this season — the only one of the Brandon Staley and Justin Herbert era.

That rate of about 57% implies odds of around -135.

That falls exactly in line with PointsBet’s odds. If you’re bullish on the Chargers this game, the value is neutral, but it could be worth a sprinkle.

The second prop I wouldn’t gamble on. It’s far too variable of a prop and can’t be properly modeled from a value perspective.

The last prop is also a hard value proposition.

While games involving the Chargers have converted this prop six out of seven times this season for implied odds of -600, it’s hard to put a price on this type of prop, one that’s subject to so much randomness.

Given this season’s value, I’d take a stab at this one for sure, but not with much degree of statistical confidence.

By-and-large, the public has shown that they want to gamble for this game. And that’s fine.

But, for my money, I’d put the most on the Chargers to score the first 10 points — or, simply, their spread at -2.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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