Chiefs Same Game Parlay: +1100 Super Bowl SGP for Kansas City
Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images. Pictured: Isiah Pacheco.
The final game of the NFL season has arrived. 49ers vs Chiefs is a Super Bowl rematch we nearly had in each of the last two years, but the third time was the charm.
This is an interesting matchup as the 49ers dominated most of the regular season but stumbled through the postseason. At the same time, the Chiefs looked their worst in the regular season but have been excellent in the postseason.
As you know, anticipating the game script for a same game parlay is crucial. For our script, we will trust what we have seen in the postseason and believe that lightning is striking Kansas City at the right time.
With our background set, let’s build our Chiefs same game parlay!
49ers vs. Chiefs Best Bets: Our Staff's Favorite Picks
Chiefs Same Game Parlay: +1100 Super Bowl SGP for Kansas City (DraftKings)
- Travis Kelce 70+ Receiving Yards (-130)
- Rashee Rice Over 6.5 Receptions (-110)
- Isiah Pacheco 60+ Rushing Yards (-172)
- Brock Purdy Over 31.5 Passing Attempts (+105)
Find more Super Bowl predictions, 49ers vs Chiefs player props, best bets and more below:
Travis Kelce combined with Patrick Mahomes is a no-brainer in any game script.
Kelce has exceeded 70 yards in each of his last 12 playoff games. Against one the best pass defenses in NFL history, the Ravens, Kelce dominated with 11 catches on 11 targets for 116 yards and a touchdown.
Something was off with the Mahomes-Kelce connection in the regular season, but as the greats do, they figured it out in the postseason.
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Rice has been the playmaker the Chiefs have badly needed on the outside but in the same way as a typical receiver. The Chiefs are loaded with guys who can run fast in a straight line: Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Justin Watson and Mecole Hardman.
What they needed was a guy to feed on underneath routes but also create big plays. Rice has been just that. In his first two playoff games, Rice had 12 catches for 93 yards — just six yards came before the catch. Against Baltimore, the split wasn’t as dramatic, but Rice still created 75 of his 130 yards after the catch.
Kansas City is feeding the ball quickly off the line and letting him do the work. With as effective as those plays have been, we should expect Rice to have plenty of volume on similar plays. By just taking the receptions we remove the risk of Rice being tackled quickly on those underneath routes and get a better price for it.
Our final Chiefs prop is the player who will be getting the work once the Chiefs are up. Pacheco has been Kansas City’s bread and butter in the playoffs, averaging 21 carries per game and never having under 60 yards rushing.
The 49ers, meanwhile, have been gashed by the run in the playoffs. They allowed 136 rushing yards to the Packers and 182 rushing yards to the Lions.
If the Chiefs get up early, they will lean on their star back against a team that has struggled against the run. Sounds like another 60-plus-yard game for Pacheco to me.
Since we have a positive game script for the Chiefs, the 49ers will likely be behind and need to throw.
In the playoffs, Purdy has averaged 35 attempts per game and this falls in line with how the 49ers want to play. Throw the ball to playmakers quickly and in space and let them do the work.
This also falls in line with how teams have played against the Chiefs in the playoffs. No opposing quarterback has less than 37 attempts against Kansas City.
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