The Week 8 slate concludes with Monday Night Football featuring the Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs on October 27. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on ESPN and ABC.
Our player props for the Monday Night Football game target Patrick Mahomes, Marcus Mariota, Rashee Rice and Brashard Smith.
Let's dive into my Commanders vs Chiefs player props for Monday Night Football.
Commanders vs Chiefs Player Props
- Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-110; Hard Rock)
- Marcus Mariota Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-120; BetMGM)
- Rashee Rice Over 6.5 Receptions (+125; bet365)
- Brashard Smith Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110; bet365)
Commanders vs Chiefs Prop Picks, Preview
Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Chiefs' running back corps is a difficult beast to work out right now, but there’s one thing for certain: We’re seeing Patrick Mahomes extend plays a lot more with his legs.
We have only seen the Chiefs play seven games, but the Mahomes' 42 carries entering Monday Night Football are already more than half of the 80 he had across the whole season last year, all the way to the Super Bowl. He’s also already matched last year’s rushing touchdown total already.
The Commanders are giving up an average of 19.8 rushing yards per game, but we really should see Mahomes go over that here.
He’s exceeded his line of 23.5 rushing yards in five of seven games this season and he has had 20 carries across the past three weeks combined.
Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-110; Hard Rock)
Marcus Mariota Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
We’re backing the quarterback on the other side to hit the over on his rushing yard total, but with Marcus Mariota, it feels like a home run hit.
The Commanders offense is designed for the dual threat that Jayden Daniels possesses and Mariota has similar upside with his legs, something we’ve seen throughout his collegiate and professional career.
In the three games in which he’s had a single rushing attempt this season, he’s hit that mark twice and is averaging 31.3 rushing yards per game and a respectable 9.4 yards per carry.
We’re likely to see the Commanders chasing the Chiefs this game and Mariota might need to try and put the team on his back to get the job done.
Pick: Marcus Mariota Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-120; BetMGM)
Rashee Rice Over 6.5 Receptions (+125)
We have a tiny sample side of Rashee Rice on this year’s Chiefs team, one game to be precise, but the reception total of 6.5 feels a catch lower than it should be.
Last week, we saw the wideout return following his suspension, amid a lot of coach talk about his ability and how the team was going to feed him.
Needless to say, Rice returned and instantly improved the Chiefs offense considerably. The receiver had seven receptions on 10 targets — not bad for his first game since Week 4 of last season, but he also scored two touchdowns.
Rice is the standout player on this Chiefs offense, besides Mahomes, and the team will feed him.
Pick: Rashee Rice Over 6.5 Receptions (+125; bet365)
Brashard Smith Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
It’s clear that the Chiefs like Brashard Smith. He got a lot of buzz in camp and last week he saw a lot of action in the blowout win over the Raiders.
That was in part due to the game script allowing him to get more reps, but it’s clear that the coaching staff is looking for ways to get the ball into his hands, and he has been used a lot in the passing game over the past month.
Smith's had 12 catches on 16 targets over the past month, and he had a career-high five catches and 42 receiving yards last week.
In fact, he’s averaging 30.5 receiving yards per game over the past month, and with his versatility, he’s going to be on the field regularly.
Smith's a former WR and has been receiving a lot of praise from Mahomes this past week.
Pick: Brashard Smith Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110; bet365)
Commanders vs Chiefs Prop Bets
- Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-110; Hard Rock)
- Marcus Mariota Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-120; BetMGM)
- Rashee Rice Over 6.5 Receptions (+125; bet365)
- Brashard Smith Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110; bet365)
