Week 13 features a special NFL Black Friday matchup between the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
- For more Black Friday Football coverage, check out our Bears vs Eagles preview, which includes a spread pick.
For my top Bears vs. Eagles NFL PrizePicks and Underdog plays, I’m highlighting Cole Kmet, D'Andre Swift and AJ Brown.
Cole Kmet
More Than 10.5 Receiving Yards
The ascension of rookie tight end Colston Loveland has been key to the Bears' offensive success, but fellow tight end Cole Kmet still has a consistent role in the offense.
Kmet has averaged 2.9 targets per game this season and 1.7 receptions. He's racked up 11.4 yards per reception, which means he may only need one catch to surpass this total.
However, it's likely we see him haul in two passes since the Eagles, who are tough against tight ends, will be concerned about Loveland when Kmet poses just as much of a threat in the passing game.
D'Andre Swift
More Than 39.5 Rushing Yards
Next, we stay on the Bears' side of things and target running back D'Andre Swift. Kyle Monangai has carved himself a role in the offense, but Swift is clearly the lead back.
Swift leads a Bears rushing attack that is the seventh-best in the NFL and makes up nearly 47% of their offense. Swift has averaged 14.2 rush attempts this season, and last week was his only game where he received fewer than 11 carries.
The market has overreacted to what we saw last week, when Swift should be heavily favored to lead the backfield this week. If he gets even 75% of his typical volume, he will cruise past this total.
AJ Brown
More Than 0.5 Touchdowns
Lastly, we focus on the Eagles' passing attack, which is in a great spot to thrive against the Bears' secondary. Chicago ranks 31st in yards per pass allowed and 30th in touchdowns allowed to opposing wide receivers.
That means they are very susceptible to being burned on downfield passing plays, and there is no better fit for that role in the Eagles' offense than AJ Brown. This comes after Brown looked to re-establish his connection with Jalen Hurts last week as the duo connected on multiple big plays, one of which ended in paydirt.
Back Brown to find the end zone for the second straight week as the Eagles offense rolls in this matchup.
