Giants vs Titans: Updated NFL Week 1 Odds, Picks, Prediction

Giants vs Titans: Updated NFL Week 1 Odds, Picks, Prediction article feature image

Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Daniel Jones.

  • The Titans are -5.5 against the Giants in Week 1.
  • New head coach Brian Daboll is looking to start his Giants tenure with a big upset.
  • Dylan Wilkerson breaks down the matchup and makes his betting picks below.

Giants vs. Titans Odds

Sunday, Sept. 11
4:25 p.m. ET
Giants Odds
-110o / -110u
Titans Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

The offseason is in the rear-view mirror, and we are heading into another NFL season full of pizza slices and ice-cold refreshments. Football fans from near and far are gearing up for a season full of best bets, bad beats, and boneless wings.

The Titans are coming off of a trip to the playoffs, where they lost in the divisional round to the Bengals. They were plagued with injuries most of the season, and at one point over 80 different players touched the field in a Titans uniform. Even with star running back Derrick Henry sidelined after Week 8, the Titans managed to maintain a 6-3 record without straying from their run-heavy game plan.

The Titans threw the ball on 51.2% of their plays last season, the second-lowest rate in the league. Vrabel’s hesitancy in the passing game is understandable when you look at how explosive (or lack thereof) their pass game was in 2021.

The Giant's season looked vastly different from that of their Week 1 opponent. A 4-13 record earned the G-Men a top-five pick in the NFL Draft, where they took linebacker Kayvon Thibodeaux from Oregon.

The Giants' lack of offensive production kept them out of games early, and they did not do much on defense to dig themselves out of that hole. Their passing game was plagued with inefficiencies, mostly at quarterback.

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Giants vs. Titans Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Giants and Titans match up statistically:

Giants vs. Titans DVOA Breakdown (Stats from 2021)
Overall DVOA3212
Pass DVOA311
Rush DVOA3014
Overall DVOA2018
Pass DVOA2114
Rush DVOA1732

The Titans like to chip away at the field four yards at a time. This game plan usually results in long, grueling, clock-killing drives.

Defensively, the Titans do a great job pressuring a quarterback without having to blitz. This allows the Titans to have more backs drop into coverage, further improving their pass-defense stats. Tennessee was 19th in blitz rate last season, fifth-lowest in missed tackles, ninth in opponent QB rating and fourth in allowing just 3.9 yards per carry — all according to Pro Football Reference.

The Giants struggle offensively, and this is not a groundbreaking discovery. This has been the case over the past three years. Daniel Jones does not seem to be the answer at quarterback, and Saquon Barkley has trouble staying healthy enough to create any sort of meaningful production.

If new head coach Brian Daboll emphasizes a pass-heavy offense, the Giants would have to overcome talent and personnel woes to be successful. To add insult to injury, their ground game is not much better.

New York's inability to break tackles stalls runs that have the potential to provide big gains. No amount of play-calling ability can offset the inability to complete throws or power through tackles.

Just 72.7% of throws from Giants QBs last season were on target (29th in the NFL) and the receivers dropped 5.7% of passes. New York also ran for just 1.5 yards per carry after contact, which was 31st in the NFL.

Betting Picks

It is no secret that the Titans love to run the ball, I mean their season's mantra is, "We Run It." Any Titans game will consist of clock-killing drives, and who is complaining? We all need a bathroom break during the 4:25 p.m. ET slate before Sunday Night Football.

This paired with an unproductive Giants offense and a Titans defense that can pressure a quarterback will make for a low-scoring affair.

Pick: Giants Team Total Under 19.5 | Bet to 17.5

FanDuel Quickslip: Under 43.5 | Bet to 42.5

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