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Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season begins with a Thursday Night Football matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
Our player props for Thursday Night Football target KC Concepcion, DK Metcalf, and Jaylen Warren.
Let's dive into our Steelers vs Browns player props for Thursday night.
Steelers vs Browns Player Props
- KC Concepcion 5+ Receptions (+162; FanDuel)
- DK Metcalf Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114; FanDuel)
- Jaylen Warren Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-114; FanDuel)
Steelers vs Browns Prop Picks, Preview
KC Concepcion 5+ Receptions (+162)
It feels like a KC Concepcion breakout game is coming soon. This week, Browns HC Todd Monken has described the offense as a “work in progress,” while Deshaun Watson and Concepcion work to build chemistry.
Against the Panthers, the rookie, selected 24th overall back in April, had nine targets but caught just two of them. That’s still a huge 30% target share, and he’s getting targeted on more of his routes than fellow rookie Denzel Boston, who has already had a few big games, with 6% targets on routes run, compared with Boston’s 17%.
In some instances, the throws themselves have been poor, and in others Concepcion should have done more.
What matters is the target volume: he has five or more in every game so far, and he should see positive regression soon.
Pick: KC Concepcion 5+ Receptions (+162, FanDuel)
DK Metcalf Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Another serious positive regression candidate is Steelers wide receiver DK Metcalf, who scored his first touchdown of the season last week but with a modest stat line (catching three of five targets for 31 yards).
In fact, he’s accrued just 98 receiving yards across his first three games, but I’m bullish on him going Over 41.5 here.
Metcalf has racked up 24 targets already this season and ranks fourth in the NFL in air yards, with Aaron Rodgers not performing well enough with the deep ball. That said, the volume and air yards are there, so we should see his numbers reflect that soon.
The Browns have allowed catches of over 30 yards to five players this season — if Rodgers can connect with Metcalf, he has a great chance to smash his line here.
Pick: DK Metcalf Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Jaylen Warren Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Jaylen Warren has looked agile and dangerous through the first three games of the season as both a threat on the ground and in the passing game.
Despite him logging at least 27 receiving yards in every game he's played thus far, I’m taking Under 22.5 on Thursday Night Football.
Rico Dowdle still isn't practicing, so the Steelers may need to rebalance Warren’s game plan with more carries than routes. Crucially, I’m taking the Under because of how well the Browns have stopped opposing running backs from excelling in the passing game.
Only four teams have given up fewer receiving yards to opposing RBs than the Browns (54 yards), made all the more impressive by the fact that it's from 14 receptions, meaning the average yards made per catch is 3.9.
Pick: Jaylen Warren Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Steelers vs Browns Prop Bets
- KC Concepcion 5+ Receptions (+162; FanDuel)
- DK Metcalf Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114; FanDuel)
- Jaylen Warren Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-114; FanDuel)
