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Texans vs Raiders NFL Week 7 Picks, Prediction

Texans vs Raiders NFL Week 7 Picks, Prediction article feature image
Credit:

Ethan Miller/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Jacobs.

  • The Raiders are big home favorites today against the lowly Texans.
  • Las Vegas is coming off its bye week and only has one win this season.
  • Dylan Wilkerson breaks down the matchup and makes his betting pick below.

Texans vs. Raiders Odds

Sunday, Oct. 23
4:05 p.m. ET
CBS
Texans Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+7
-114
45.5
-112o / -108u
+250
Raiders Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-7
-106
45.5
-112o / -108u
-310
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

This week’s late afternoon slate brings us a showdown between the Houston Texans and the Las Vegas Raiders.

Both of these teams have only one win this season, and that’s for a good reason as they’ve had their struggles.

For the Texans, this was expected at the beginning of the season. The Raiders, on the other hand, had high hopes going into this season. They have yet to live up to those expectations, but they look to get on track this week.

Here are my Texans vs Raiders NFL Week 7 picks and predictions, as well as my best bet.

Texans vs. Raiders Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Texans and Raiders match up statistically:

Texans vs. Raiders DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 28 27
Pass DVOA 28 30
Rush DVOA 25 15
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 20 26
Pass DVOA 23 16
Rush DVOA 8 29

The Raiders’ bread and butter has been their run game. This team runs the ball efficiently, but infrequently. Josh Jacobs has been a workhorse as of late, and the Raiders’ lackluster performance from their receiving core elevates Jacob’s importance to the offensive scheme.

Although the Raiders have the fewest rushing attempts in the league, they are near the top of the pack with 5.3 yards per carry. Since the Raiders have been playing from behind for most of the season, it makes sense that their rush attempts are low, opting for a pass heavy scheme is popular when you want to strike quickly. 

The Texans, on the other hand, have one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL. Allowing 5.2 rush yards an attempt is not great, and when you zoom out and look at rush yards allowed per game, the Texans have allowed the third most with nearly 165 yards. Aside from their rush defense being abysmal, the Texans seem to do everything else in mediocrity.

Betting Picks

In his last two games, we have seen an increase in Jacobs’ usage and production. In his last two games, we have seen Jacobs get over 20 carries each, and average 149 rush yards.

These performances came against great defenses such as the Chiefs and Broncos.

I expect the Raiders to expose the Texans’ run defense, leading to a big game from the Raiders’ RB1.

Quickslip: Josh Jacobs Over 84.5 Rushing Yards | Bet to 89.5

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