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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2026

Maple Leafs at Lightning

12:30 am • TNT

Toronto Maple Leafs

31-29-13
2
2 - 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

44-21-6
4

Maple Leafs at Lightning Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Maple Leafs
31-29-13
+1.5
+1.5-138
o6.5+115
+185
Lightning
44-21-6
u6.5
-1.5+115
u6.5-138
-225
location pinThursday 12:30 a.m.
February 26, 2026
Benchmark International ArenaTampa
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 191-190-2 (-13.3u)
TOR +1.5-125
1u
Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 120-127-5 (-22.4u)
TOR +185
1u
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 90-108-2 (+8.9u)
W.Nylander o2.5 SOG+160
1.2u
Wrote up on Canada Sports Betting, and thanks to those of you who support my work over there. I'll continue to have player prop articles for every weekday slate, and so far those guides are that are +17.2 units this year.
tonysartori99
Last 30d: 13-31-0 (-12.2u)
TB -1.5+122
1.22u

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Previews & Analysis

  • Maple Leafs vs Lightning: This May be a Blowout article feature image

    Maple Leafs vs Lightning: This May be a Blowout

    Tony Sartori•
    Feb 25, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Maple Leafs

Public

Home Logo

Lightning

11%

Bets%

89%

Money%

NHL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Lightning are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Lightning are 22-15 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lightning' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Lightning' 33 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lightning		35-3613-2022-1525-3610-0
Maple Leafs		31-4215-2316-197-2222-17

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Lightning		39-3217-1621-1635-264-6
Maple Leafs		40-32-123-1517-17-118-1119-19-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lightning		44-21N/AN/A37-247-3
Maple Leafs		31-29N/AN/A14-1514-25

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Feb 6thFLAW 6-1-1.5 WO 6TB -218
Feb 4thBUFW 4-3-1.5 LO 6.5TB -205
Feb 1stBOSW 6-5-1.5 LO 6TB -220
Jan 30thWPGW 4-1-1.5 WU 5.5TB -185
Jan 27thUTAW 2-0---

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Injury Updates

Maple Leafs Injuries

  • Christopher Tanev
    D

    Tanev is out for season with abdomen

    Out for Season

  • Auston Matthews
    F

    Matthews is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

Lightning Injuries

  • Victor Hedman
    D

    Hedman is out with illness

    Out

  • Maxwell Crozier
    D

    Crozier is out for season with abdomen

    Out for Season

  • Dominic James
    C

    James is out with leg

    Out

  • Declan Carlile
    D

    Carlile is out with undisclosed

    Out

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Team Stats

2
Goals
4
4
Assists
8
4
Penalties
2
33
Shots
36
18
Hits
17
34
Faceoffs Won
28

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds Comparison

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Maple Leafs at Lightning Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Maple Leafs
31-29-13
N/A
N/A
Lightning
44-21-6
N/A
N/A