Finland enters its Olympic ice hockey matchup against Italy with prediction markets heavily favoring the Finns. In fact, the market shows a 94% probability of a Finnish victory with contracts trading at $0.94.
The lopsided betting action reflects the significant talent gap between the two nations, with Finland's market commanding a bid-ask spread of $0.92-$0.97 and a substantial volume of 16,269 contracts traded. Italy's chances sit at just 7% with 3,280 contracts in trading volume.
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Finland vs Italy Odds
The February 14th preliminary round Group B clash represents a classic David vs. Goliath scenario in Olympic hockey. Finland, a perennial hockey powerhouse with multiple Olympic medals and World Championship titles, faces an Italian squad that has historically struggled against elite competition. The Nordic nation's deep NHL talent pool has created a matchup where even recreational bettors see limited value in backing the underdog.
For prediction market observers, this matchup serves as a textbook example of how international hockey hierarchies translate into betting odds. While Olympic hockey occasionally produces stunning upsets, traders clearly believe Italy lacks the firepower to challenge Finland's expected dominance in this Group B encounter.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment, and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
