Germany enters Saturday's Olympic hockey matchup against Latvia as a heavy favorite, with Kalshi traders pricing Germany's victory at 73 cents, translating to a 73% probability of winning the Milan showdown.
The prediction market data reveals significant confidence in the German squad, with the current bid-ask spread sitting at 71%-73% for a Germany victory. Trading volume has been robust, with over 13,000 contracts changing hands.
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Germany vs Latvia Odds
Germany's strong market positioning comes after a dominant performance against Denmark in its Olympic opener, during which Leon Draisaitl and company showcased the offensive firepower that makes them a medal contender. The Germans controlled play throughout that matchup, establishing themselves as one of the tournament's most formidable teams.
Latvia faces an uphill battle against a German roster loaded with NHL talent. While the Latvians have shown flashes of competitiveness in international play, the market's 42-point spread in probability (73% vs 31%) reflects the significant talent gap between these squads. Germany's depth and experience at the highest levels of professional hockey give it multiple scoring threats that Latvia will struggle to contain.
The market's confidence aligns with expert analysis pointing to Germany's balanced attack and defensive stability. With players like Draisaitl leading the charge, Germany has the star power to break open close games and the depth to maintain pressure throughout all three periods.
Saturday's game in Milan represents a crucial step in Germany's quest for Olympic hardware, and both the betting markets and expert predictions suggest it should handle Latvia comfortably en route to advancing deeper into the tournament bracket.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment, and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
