Team USA enters its Olympic preliminary round matchup against Denmark as an overwhelming favorite, with Kalshi traders pricing a USA victory at 96 cents, which translates to a 96% probability of an American win.
The prediction market data reveals the stark disparity between these Olympic hockey squads, with Denmark's chances sitting at just 7 cents (7% probability) on the platform.
If you're curious about these markets, or want to make your own USA vs Denmark predictions and trades, be sure to use our Kalshi promo code to get started.
USA vs Denmark Picks
Sportsbooks echo this sentiment with equally lopsided traditional odds. BetMGM has installed Team USA as a 3.5-goal favorite with a moneyline of -3000, making this one of the most one-sided Olympic hockey matchups on the board.
The betting consensus reflects the talent gap between the nations, which is particularly significant as this marks the first Olympic tournament featuring NHL players since the 2014 Sochi Games. Team USA brings a roster loaded with NHL stars as it chases its first men's hockey gold medal since the legendary "Miracle on Ice" triumph in 1980.
For Denmark, this preliminary round contest represents a David vs. Goliath scenario against one of the tournament's gold medal favorites. The Americans are coming off an opening game win against Latvia and will look to build momentum in what should be another lopsided victory.
The overwhelming market confidence in Team USA suggests traders view this as little more than a tune-up game for the Americans, with the pricing indicating Denmark would need a near-miraculous effort to spring one of the biggest upsets in Olympic hockey history.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment, and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
