2024 Presidential Election Odds: Odds to win Republican Nomination

2024 Presidential Election Odds: Odds to win Republican Nomination article feature image
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Photo by CHRISTIAN MONTERROSA/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley at a recent town hall as we look at the 2024 presidential election odds and the odds to win the Republican nomination for president.

2024 Presidential Election Odds: Odds to win Republican Nomination

CandidateOddsChance to Win Nomination
Donald Trump-40077.60%
Nikki Haley+64013.11%
Ron DeSantis+20004.62%
Tom Cotton+80001.20%
Marco Rubio+100000.96%
Tucker Carlson+120000.80%
Ted Cruz+130000.74%
Chris Christie+210000.46%
Donald Trump Jr.+310000.31%
Glenn Youngkin+470000.26%

Odds via European exchange Betfair. Implied probability is "fair" implied probability, without the vigorish. Sportsbooks cannot offer political betting in the United States. PredictIt is a service that does so by proxy, but there are limitations.

We're officially in an election year, seeing as the calendar has turned to 2024. And as we get closer and closer to November's election, we'll be bringing you everything you need to know about 2024 presidential election odds and the odds to win the Republican nomination for president.

Given that he is the betting favorite to win the 2024 presidential election, it should come as no surprise that former president Donald Trump is an overwhelming favorite to win the Republican nomination at -400. Donald Trump's odds to win the Republican nomination imply a 77.6% chance that he wins the nomination.

Behind Trump is Nikki Haley, who has a 13.11% chance to win the Republican nomination currently based on her +640 odds to win the nomination. For reference, on that bet, $100 would net you $640 and your money back. For Trump’s -400, a $100 wager would net $25 and your money back.

Haley is followed by Ron DeSantis (+2000, 4.62%) and Tom Cotton (+8000, 1.2%) before the rest of the field drops off to potential nominees with a less than 1% chance of winning the Republican nomination.

For more on the 2024 presidential election, check out the 2024 presidential election odds: latest odds to win the U.S. presidency.

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