2024 Presidential Election Odds: Updated Odds to Win U.S. Election

2024 Presidential Election Odds: Odds to Win 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Odds via European exchange Betfair. Implied probability is "fair" implied probability, without the vigorish. Sportsbooks cannot offer political betting in the United States.

From now until the 2024 presidential election next November, we will be providing you the latest updates on the 2024 presidential election odds and chances to win the election.

On Wednesday, the Republican Party held its second debate for the 2024 presidential election, which former president Donald Trump did not attend. Here's everything you need to know about the updated 2024 Presidential Election Odds: Odds to Win 2024 U.S. Presidential Election after the second Republican debate.

2024 Presidential Election Odds: Updated Odds After Republican Debate

Former president Donald Trump is the current favorite to win the 2024 presidential election. Former president Trump's 2024 presidential election odds are currently +190. At the current odds, that is an implied probability of a 32.62% chance to win the 2024 presidential election.

Trump's 2024 presidential election odds actually improved during Wednesday night's debate, moving from +200 before to +190 after.

President Joe Biden's 2024 presidential election odds are +220. That is an implied probability of a 29.56% chance Biden wins reelection. President Biden's 2024 presidential election odds moved slightly during the Republican debate, from +225 to +220.

Gavin Newsom still has the third shortest 2024 presidential election odds after the second Republican debate, although his odds did get longer on Wednesday, from +900 to +1050.

Florida governor Ron DeSantis, meanwhile, saw his odds move from +3000 before Wednesday's Republican debate to +2500 afterward.

2024 Presidential Election Odds Updates: Recent Odds Movement

President Joe Biden had been the favorite to win the 2024 presidential election according to the betting odds for much of the summer, but amid recent polling that shows flagging approval for Biden and an easy path to victory for former president Donald Trump in the Republican primary, Trump has re-emerged as the favorite according to the 2024 presidential election odds.

Former president Donald Trump's 2024 presidential election odds had moved from +225 to +240 following his indictment by the Justice Department in August on federal charges that he attempted to overturn the 2020 presidential election, before moving slightly longer to +250 after his indictment in Georgia. After he turned himself into law enforcement in Georgia in late August, they moved to +270.

But following the aforementioned polling, Trump's odds shortened significantly to +200, then again to +190 on Wednesday night.

President Joe Biden's odds to win the 2024 presidential election had been +180 before the recent polling, with that number moving to +225 as Trump's prospects have risen, then to +220 on Wednesday.

2024 Presidential Election Odds: Opening Odds to Win the Presidential Election

Donald Trump had opened as the favorite to win the 2024 presidential election at +250 in July last year, followed by Ron DeSantis at +300 and Joe Biden at +550.

Neither Vivek Ramaswamy nor Robert F. Kennedy Jr., meanwhile, were even listed on the opening odds last July.

Donald Trump's odds to win the 2024 presidential election had fallen back to as long as +350 following last November's midterms, pending investigations, and apparent momentum from Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. However, as DeSantis' own campaign has run into questions, his odds have fallen.

Former President Trump first became an underdog to Joe Biden shortly after, when Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Jack Smith as special counsel to oversee the ongoing investigations.

This is a developing story that will be updated regularly. Information from The Associated Press was used in this article.