Crystal Palace (3-1-4) and Arsenal (6-1-1) will face off today at 10:00 a.m. EDT at Emirates Stadium in London, England.
Arsenal is favored at a -235 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-135o / +105u) goals.
Let's get into my Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal prediction.
Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal Prediction
Pick: Arsenal To Win To Nil
My Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal best bet is on Arsenal to win with a clean sheet.
Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal Odds
| Crystal Palace Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 2.5 -135o / 105u | +650 |
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +110 | 2.5 -135o / 105u | -235 |
Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal Pick
Pick: Arsenal To Win To Nil
Arsenal is flying high at the top of the Premier League, and the defense has been a major factor. Mikel Arteta has a physically imposing team at his disposal, and tactical discipline has made them difficult to break down. As a result, we are backing the home side to win and keep a clean sheet as part of our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace predictions.
The Gunners have kept a clean sheet in five of their six competitive matches at the Emirates this season. Erling Haaland, one of Europe’s in-form strikers, is the only player to score against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium.
Areteta’s side’s defensive record has been excellent for quite some time. Since the start of the 2023/24 season, the team has conceded an average of 0.79 goals per league game, the fewest in England’s top flight. Crystal Palace is unlikely to get many opportunities here.
The Eagles come into this game on the back of a disappointing home defeat against AEK Larnaca. The Thursday night game also means that Oliver Glasner will have had very little time to prepare for this fixture, making a home win even more likely.
Arsenal leaked goals in a 2-2 draw in this fixture last season. However, Arteta’s team was already out of the title race by that point, so we can expect a better display here. The Gunners are unbeaten in their last seven meetings with Palace, winning six.
Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 19.2% | 67.2% |
Projected Total Goals
| Crystal Palace | Total Goals | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 2.75 | 2.06 |
Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal Betting Analysis
While some critics question Mikel Arteta's style, Arsenal's results reflect a team with title-winning potential. The Gunners’ emphatic display against Atletico Madrid, scoring four goals in just 13 minutes, highlighted the revival of their attack.
Victor Gyökeres, instrumental with two goals, is eager to maintain this momentum in the upcoming clash with in-form Crystal Palace.
Under Oliver Glasner, Palace have emerged as an offensive powerhouse, leading the league in expected goals (xG), shots on target per match (5.4), and big chances created (54). However, the Eagles came up short in the Conference League clash against AEK Larnaca, losing 1-0 at home.
Interestingly, BETSiE, our internal data projection model, predicts that this will be the most one-sided game in terms of expected goal difference (1.27xG) between the two sides. The 2.06xG forecast for Arsenal dwarfs Palace’s 0.79xG, such is the level Arsenal’s defense is performing at right now.
Arsenal's defense is formidable, conceding 0.60 xGA (expected goals) per 90 minutes in the league and keeping nine clean sheets in 12 games.
Expect Arsenal to control the tempo and focus on a measured approach.
Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal Projected Starting Lineups
Crystal Palace
Henderson; Richards, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell; Pino, Sarr; Mateta.
Arsenal
Raya; Timber, Saliba, Mosquera, Calafiori; Eze, Zubimendi, Rice; Saka, Gyokeres, Martinelli.
