Arsenal hosts Bayer Leverkusen on Tuesday at 4:00 p.m. ET at Emirates Stadium in London, England, for a decisive Champions League second-leg matchup.
After a tense 1-1 draw in the first leg, this contest pits the Gunners' formidable home record against a German side that has consistently troubled English opposition this season.
Arsenal is favored at a -334 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-150o / +120u) goals.
Let's get into our Leverkusen vs. Arsenal prediction.
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Prediction
Pick: Both Teams to Score
Our Leverkusen vs. Arsenal best bet is that both teams find the back of the net.
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Odds
| Leverkusen Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | +850 |
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -120 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | -334 |
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Kalshi Odds
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Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Picks
Pick: Both Teams to Score (+105)
While Arsenal boasts one of the strongest defensive units in Europe, particularly at home, their Champions League campaign tells a slightly different story.
The club has managed to keep just one clean sheet in its last five matches in the competition, a run that includes conceding twice to underdog Kairat Almaty. This suggests a vulnerability that a well-drilled Leverkusen squad can exploit.
In the first leg, Leverkusen proved they could create problems for Mikel Arteta's backline, and they enter this contest having scored in nine of their 11 Champions League games this season.
They average 1.45 goals per game in the tournament and have a strong track record against Premier League clubs, including a 2-0 victory over Manchester City earlier in the season.
Because Arsenal is a strong favorite to win at home, Leverkusen will likely find itself chasing the game at some point.
This scenario would force the German side to take offensive risks, which should open up the match and lead to scoring opportunities at both ends of the field.
The price of +105 at bet365 for both teams to score offers solid value for a likely game script.
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Leverkusen | Draw | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 11.4% | 17.4% | 71.2% |
Projected Total Goals
| Leverkusen | Total Goals | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 2.74 | 2.07 |
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Betting Analysis
The first leg was a tactical battle where Bayer Leverkusen’s organization frustrated the London club.
Kasper Hjulmand’s team was disciplined, controlled possession well, and limited Arsenal to just five shots before a late penalty in the 89th minute salvaged a draw for the visitors. A Robert Andrich header from a corner kick gave Leverkusen a well-deserved lead, showing they could score against an elite defense.
Mikel Arteta had to turn to his bench to change the game, and the introduction of Noni Madueke ultimately won the penalty that Kai Havertz converted against his former team.
Now the series returns to the Emirates Stadium, a venue where Arsenal has lost only once in all competitions this season. This home-field advantage is a significant factor in their status as heavy favorites.
Historically, this has been a close matchup. While Arsenal is undefeated in three meetings with Leverkusen, two of those contests ended in 1-1 draws.
Leverkusen also has a history of advancing against English teams in two-legged ties, progressing in four of five such encounters. Their ability to stifle one of the tournament favorites in the first leg proves they have the tactical blueprint to remain a serious threat to Arsenal’s title ambitions.
This makes the Leverkusen vs. Arsenal pick an intriguing option for bettors.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Leverkusen vs. Arsenal picks.
