Chelsea (9-6-7) and Crystal Palace (7-8-7) will face off today at 9:00 a.m. EST at Selhurst Park in London.
Chelsea is favored at a +101 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-138o / +105u) goals.
Let's get into my Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace prediction.
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace Prediction
Pick: Chelsea Moneyline
My Crystal Palace vs Chelsea best bet is the Chelsea moneyline.
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace Odds
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -110 | 2.5 -138o / +105u | +101 |
| Crystal Palace Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -130 | 2.5 -138o / +105u | +247 |
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Both Teams to Score – No
Leg 2: Chelsea Moneyline
Leg 3: Under 2.5 Goals
Our primary Chelsea vs Crystal Palace pick targets the goal market. The case for at least one team to record a shutout is strong, largely due to the home side's offensive troubles. Crystal Palace has one of the least effective offenses in the Premier League, with only 23 goals scored all season. That problem gets significantly worse for this match.
The team’s top scorer, Jean-Philippe Mateta, will be absent. His departure leaves a massive void, as he has scored eight of the team’s 23 goals and generated 11.5 expected goals (xG) from the club’s total of 34.3. Without the player who accounts for over a third of their offensive output, Palace faces an uphill battle to find the net. The data backs this up, as the club has failed to score in five of its 11 home matches in the league this season.
On the other side, Chelsea’s defense has proven capable. The Blues have recorded nine shutouts this season, a mark bettered by only one other club in the league. Given Palace’s depleted offense and Chelsea’s defensive form, the odds for "Both Teams to Score – No" present solid value.
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | 22.7% | 29.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 3.09 | 1.34 |
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace Betting Analysis
Historically, this has been a one-sided affair. Chelsea holds a dominant record over Crystal Palace, with an unbeaten streak that stretches across 17 games, which includes 14 victories. While the last three head-to-head contests ended in draws, the long-term trend heavily favors the visitors.
The tactical setup for this match also points toward a Chelsea advantage. The Blues typically control the game, with an average possession of 57% this season. They will likely command the ball for long periods, while Palace, the clear underdog, will sit in a deep defensive block. This pattern of attack versus defense puts immense pressure on the home side.
Normally, Crystal Palace would rely on quick counterattacks to create chances. However, without Mateta, their ability to execute that strategy effectively is severely diminished. The club is already in a terrible stretch of results, with no wins in its last nine matches in all competitions. The internal turmoil, highlighted by manager Oliver Glasner's recent frustrations, only adds to the team's problems. For Chelsea, this is a prime opportunity to build momentum against a vulnerable opponent and continue its push for a top-four spot in the standings.
