Chelsea (11-6-7) and Wolverhampton Wanderers (1-18-5) will face off today at 10:00 a.m. EST at Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton, England.
Chelsea is favored at a -144 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-150o / +110u) goals.
Let's get into my Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton prediction.
Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton Prediction
Pick: Chelsea to Win the Second Half
My Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton best bet is for Chelsea to take over in the final 45.
Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton Odds
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -155 | 2.5 -150o / +110u | -144 |
| Wolverhampton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +110 | 2.5 -150o / +110u | +360 |
Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton Picks, Parlay
Pick: Chelsea to Win the Second Half
This Chelsea vs. Wolves prediction is built on a tale of two halves. Wolves, for all their season-long troubles, are particularly inept after halftime when playing at Molineux. The numbers are staggering: the club averages just 0.08 goals in the second half of home games. They have failed to score after the break in 11 of their 12 home contests and are currently on a 10-game home streak without a second-half goal. This offensive futility has been a key reason for their position at the bottom of the table. The recent sale of striker Jørgen Strand Larsen is unlikely to improve this situation. Even during improved overall performances, such as their recent five-game unbeaten run across all competitions, the underlying issue remains: a lack of quality to compete with top-tier teams.
On the other side, Chelsea transforms into a different beast as matches wear on. Liam Rosenior’s squad ranks as the fourth-best offensive team in the Premier League, and their efficiency shines in the final 45 minutes. They have scored 16 goals across their 12 away second halves this season, an average of 1.33 per match. This ability to finish strong is a hallmark of a side with depth and superior tactical adjustments. The contrast between Chelsea’s late-game firepower and Wolves’ second-half fade provides a clear angle for this pick.
Another player-focused angle worth noting is João Pedro’s recent form. The Brazilian striker has been on fire under Rosenior, scoring five goals in his last six appearances. He is thriving as the focal point of the attack and now faces a Wolves defense that has consistently struggled. His movement and finishing ability make him a constant threat.
Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | Wolverhampton |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | 24.1% | 20.8% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | Wolverhampton |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | 2.63 | 0.97 |
Chelsea vs. Wolverhampton Betting Analysis
The 32-point chasm in the Premier League standings between fifth-place Chelsea and last-place Wolves tells a clear story. One team is fighting for a prestigious European spot, while the other is playing for pride ahead of an almost certain relegation to the Championship. This vast difference in motivation and quality is the central theme of this matchup. Chelsea, under new manager Liam Rosenior, has found a new gear, winning its last three league matches.
Expect the Blues to control the tempo from the opening whistle. They lead the Premier League in expected goals (xG), an indicator of their ability to consistently create high-quality chances. That attacking machine now faces a Wolves defense that ranks third-worst in the league for goals conceded. The home side’s offensive output is equally concerning, as they sit among the lowest-scoring teams across Europe’s top five leagues.
Head-to-head history further darkens the outlook for Wolves. Chelsea are riding a four-game winning streak in this matchup and claimed a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Recent meetings have been goal-heavy, with the last five encounters averaging 5.6 goals per game. Chelsea have accounted for 18 of those goals, an average of 3.6 per match against this opponent. While Wolves may manufacture a few opportunities from set pieces — similar to how West Ham briefly troubled Chelsea — the visitors’ sustained pressure and superior quality should ultimately be decisive.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Chelsea vs Wolves picks.
