Denmark vs England Preview | Euro 2024 Predictions & Picks

Denmark vs England Preview | Euro 2024 Predictions & Picks article feature image
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Photo by Kevin Voigt/GettyImages. Pictured: Jude Bellingham

Denmark vs England Odds

Thursday, June 20
12 p.m. ET
FS1
Denmark Odds+456
England Odds-149
Draw+255
Over / Under
2.5
 +120/-150
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.

England and Denmark can both take a major step toward sealing their place in the knockout phase when they meet on Matchday 2 in Group C on Thursday.

In the modern era of the European Championships (since 1980), England has never begun the group phase with back-to-back victories, and they could do just that after holding on for a 1-0 win over Serbia in their opener.

Denmark was forced to settle for a 1-1 draw with Slovenia after taking an early lead in their group opener. They're looking to advance to back-to-back knockout phases for the first time in their tournament history.

This is a rematch of the Euro 2020 semifinals, in which England earned a hard fought 2-1 victory in extra time over the Danes at Wembley Stadium.

For more, check out Thursday Euro 2024 Match Projections | Spain vs Italy & More.


Denmark

Jude Bellingham got England off to an ideal start when he scored only 13 minutes into the opener against Serbia. However, manager Gareth Southgate's group appeared to lose some steam when they couldn't find the second before halftime.

In fact, the Three Lions only had two shot attempts in the entire second half of what was one of the most dour games of the tournament so far.

In fairness to Southgate, if the strategy was to try and dare Serbia to break them down, it worked.

While Serbia had the last four shots of the match, they lacked ideas and a willingness to try and be direct to use their physicality up top. And they generated only 0.2 expected goals over the entire 90 minutes, a puzzling stat given how much of the ball they were afforded after halftime.

It was England's sixth consecutive clean sheet kept in European Championship group play, a stretch that began with a 0-0 draw with Slovakia in the final game of their 2016 group campaign in France.

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England

Three years after the sports world stopped when Christian Eriksen suffered a cardiac arrest on the field in Denmark's group opener at the previous tournament, Eriksen scored early in his return to the European Championship stage to put his side in front against group minnows Slovenia.

Unlike England, the Danes made a credible attempt at adding to their lead, and Rasmus Hojlund must have thought he did when he forced a sensational save out of Jan Oblak in the 60th minute.

Also unlike England, they conceded a second-half equalizer when Erik Janza's half-volley took a wicked deflection to wrongfoot Kasper Schmaichel in the 77th minute.

There were even occasional shaky late moments where it looked like Denmark was in danger of losing, even though they deserved the point. And maybe more troubling for manager Kasper Hjulmand, it continued his side's difficulty keeping clean sheets.

Denmark reached the tournament despite maintaining only three in 10 qualifying matches. They'll probably have to keep at least one or two in the tournament if they wish to repeat their run to the Euro 2020 semifinals.


Denmark vs England

Prediction

The consistent throughout Gareth Southgate's England tenure is that his side have looked relatively ordinary in attack in major tournaments against European teams they can't simply overrun with superior talent.

And while Denmark might not be in the very top tier of teams on the continent, they are at worst in the level just below and plenty capable of giving England trouble.

The Three Lions have scored one or fewer goals in six of their eight games in the Euros under Southgate, and in four out of six matches in World Cup play against European opponents.

Within that sample of 14 matches, they've scored exactly one goal 50% of the time, or in seven games in total. Five of those came in the Euros.

Add Denmark's poor track record of keeping clean sheets, and the prop bet of England to score exactly one goal stats to look quite appealing at +180 odds and an implied 35.7% probability. That feels like better value than an England team total under 1.5 goals at slightly worse than even money, although that's probably not a terrible bet either.

Pick: England to score 1 goal exact (+180, BetMGM)

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