Manchester United (1-1-1) and Manchester City (1-2-0) will face off today at 11:30 a.m. EDT at Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England.
Man City is favored at a -134 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-188o / +150u) goals.
Let's get into my Man U vs. Man City prediction.
Man U vs. Man City Prediction
Picks: Under 1.25 Goals in the First Half and Over 33.5 Tackles
My Man U vs. Man City best bets are on the under total goals in the first 45 minutes and for there to be Over 33.5 tackles in this match.
Man U vs. Man City Odds
| Man U Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -188o / 150u | +320 | |
| Man City Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -188o / 150u | -134 | |
Man U vs. Man City Betting Analysis
The Manchester Derby concludes Matchday 4 in the Premier League, with Manchester United surprisingly ahead of their city rivals in the standings.
In an unusual twist, both teams may debut new goalkeepers, with Gianluigi Donnarumma and Senne Lammes set to make their first appearances following their deadline-day moves.
Manchester United has held the upper hand recently, going unbeaten in the last four derbies. However, bookmakers still favour Pep Guardiola’s team in the Manchester City vs Manchester United odds.
The pressure is undoubtedly on City, as they could begin this fixture already nine points adrift of Liverpool in the table. Another misstep would make the pursuit of the Premier League title a daunting task, even with just four games played.
Man U vs. Man City Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Under 1.25 Goals in the First Half
Leg 2: Over 33.5 Tackles
Manchester City keeps struggling with last season's issues, particularly a lack of midfield control, as seen in their defeats to Tottenham and Brighton.
Pep Guardiola's change of approach, which includes integrating at least five new starters from last year, needs more time to achieve its full potential.
Similarly, Manchester United has yet to find complete cohesion, often depending on flashes of individual brilliance.
Generally, big matches right after an international break tend to lack early excitement. Therefore, betting on a low-scoring first half might be a wise move, especially considering this has been the case in four of the six league games featuring these teams.
It promises to be a fiercely competitive derby, so we are banking on there being at least 34 tackles as part of our Manchester City vs Manchester United predictions.
Tackle numbers have fluctuated in United’s opening three league games. There were 36 in their 3-2 win over Burnley, but just 27 as they drew to Fulham. However, their clash with Arsenal saw 40 tackles, and that was the closest game to the City game in terms of 1x2 odds.
Pep Ljinders, City’s new assistant coach, is seemingly driving a style change at the Etihad. He worked with Jurgen Klopp at Liverpool, and there are signs that City are adopting some of those principles. The Citizens have been more direct, and their matches have seen the most tackles in the Premier League, with an average of 39.67 as a result.
Man U vs. Man City Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man U | Draw | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5% | 17.9% | 61.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man U | Total Goals | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
Man U vs. Man City Projected Starting Lineups
Man U
Bayindir; Yoro, De Ligt, Shaw; Dalot, Fernandes, Casemiro, Dorgu; Mbeumo, Diallo, Sesko.
Man City
Donnarumma, Nunes, Dias, Stones, Ait-Nouri, Rodri, Silva, Reijnders; Bobb, Doku, Haaland.
