Newcastle United (9-10-6) and Tottenham Hotspur (7-10-8) will face off today at 2:30 p.m. EST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.
Newcastle is favored at a +135 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-139o / +110u) goals.
Let's get into my Newcastle vs. Tottenham prediction.
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Prediction
Pick: Draw
My Newcastle vs. Tottenham best bet is for these teams to draw.
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Odds
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +120 | 2.5 -139o / +110u | +135 |
| Tottenham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -175 | 2.5 -139o / +110u | +190 |
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Draw
Leg 2: Both Teams to Score
While it's difficult to make a case for either side to win, the draw appears to be the value bet on the 1x2 market.
Tottenham have failed to win any of their last seven matches in the Premier League, with four of those matches ending in a draw.
Thomas Frank’s side have won just two of their 12 home league matches this season, drawing four, During that run, they have scored 1.25 goals per game and conceded 1.33.
Newcastle have also drawn four of their 12 away matches. Eddie Howe’s team were in the ascendancy when they faced Tottenham earlier in the season, but had to settle for a 2-2 draw. Spurs will hope to be more positive this time around, but a draw could be on the cards once again.
Although Newcastle have struggled away from home, Tottenham have been leaking goals this season, and they will also be without Cristian Romero, who is the club captain and a key part of the defence. As a result, we are backing both teams to score.
Both teams have scored in six of Tottenham’s last seven home league games, with those seeing an average of three goals. The likes of West Ham and Sunderland have scored against Spurs during that run, teams that average fewer goals per game than Newcastle.
Newcastle were beaten 3-2 by Brentford at the weekend, and both teams were credited with creating four big chances. We should see plenty of chances once again, as both managers look to alleviate the pressure by securing a win.
This bet won when the teams met earlier in the season, with the game finishing 2-2.
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Newcastle | Draw | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| 41% | 26% | 33% |
Projected Total Goals
| Newcastle | Total Goals | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 2.60 | 1.19 |
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Betting Analysis
Tottenham and Newcastle come into this match on the back of damaging defeats, and with both teams struggling for form, this fixture could be s a turning point for any side that manages to collect all three points.
These teams came into the season with aspirations of making it into the top four. However, poor form means they are in the bottom half. While it is unlikely, Tottenham could still be dragged into the relegation fight, whereas Newcastle, who are 12th, cannot afford for their losing run to continue if they are to qualify for Europe.
Thomas Frank’s side were on the back foot for much of the reverse fixture. The Tottenham boss has faced criticism for what fans perceive as a negative approach, and with Frank dangerously close to being sacked, we should see some attacking impetus from the home side, as they aim to get the better of a struggling Newcastle team.
Tottenham have the fourth-lowest xG (expected goals) in the Premier League, but they face a Newcastle team that has conceded nine goals across its last three league games. The likes of Xavi Simons and Dominic Solanke should have some success here.
As the odds suggest, this is a game that could go either way. Tottenham have been poor at home, while Newcastle have been poor away. Making a positive start to this game is crucial for both teams, and an early goal for Eddie Howe’s side will lead to a toxic atmosphere in the stadium, hindering Spurs’ chances of winning even further. On the other hand, an early Tottenham goal would help settle the nerves.
