Portugal and Spain are set to face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Allianz Arena in Munich. Both national teams already have one UEFA Nations League title to their name, and the winner of this final will become the most successful team in the tournament’s short history.
Spain is favored at -110 on the moneyline, with the over/under set at 2.5 goals (-160o / +125u).
Let's get into my Portugal vs. Spain prediction for this title clash on Sunday, June 8.
Portugal vs. Spain Prediction, Odds
| Spain Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -115 | 2.5 -160o / +125u | -110 |
| Portugal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -120 | 2.5 -160o / +125u | +255 |
Portugal vs. Spain spread: +0.5 (-120), -0.5 (-115)
Portugal vs. Spain over/under: 2.5 goals (-160o / +125u)
Portugal vs. Spain moneyline: Portugal +255, Draw +270, Spain -110
Portugal vs. Spain best bet: Spain ML (-110)
Portugal Prediction
Cristiano Ronaldo is still going strong at 40. While there’s no official retirement date, it’s clear he doesn’t have many more chances to add major titles to his already legendary career. This final could bring him his third major international trophy with Portugal, following UEFA Euro 2016 and the 2019 UEFA Nations League.
The striker scored the winning goal in Portugal’s 2-1 semifinal victory over Germany. Entering the match as underdogs, they broke a 25-year winless streak against the Germans to punch their ticket to the final.
It’s true that Portugal has only kept one clean sheet throughout the tournament. But since Roberto Martínez took over as head coach, the team’s numbers have improved significantly: in 24 competitive matches under him, they’ve lost only twice in regular time. During that span, Os Navegadores have won 18, averaging 1.87 more goals per game than their opponents.
Spain Prediction
Alongside Argentina, Spain is currently one of the two best national teams in the world. Excluding friendlies, Luis de la Fuente’s squad hasn’t lost a match since March 2023. Since then, they’ve racked up 16 wins and three draws, averaging 2.31 goals per game.
Fresh off their Euro 2024 championship, their 5-4 win over France in the semifinals had everything. Les Bleus dominated in possession, shots on goal, and total passes, but Spain’s clinical finishing saw them take a commanding 5-1 lead before a late French comeback made it close.
While Spain is packed with talent, all eyes are on Lamine Yamal. The Barcelona forward is arguably the best player in the world right now. At just 17 years old, his ceiling is still unknown. With his pace, goalscoring ability, and magnetic charisma, he seems destined for greatness.
Portugal vs. Spain Pick
Spain is unbeaten in their last five competitive matches against Portugal (2 wins, 3 draws). Including friendlies, Portugal has beaten Spain just once—1-0 at Euro 2004—in their last 10 head-to-head matchups since 1984.
Beyond the title at stake, this match carries the symbolic clash of eras: Cristiano Ronaldo, the enduring legend, against Lamine Yamal, the unstoppable rising star. A generational handoff—from one of the all-time greats to a player poised to define the future.
Both will surely have their moments to shine, but this is a team game. And Spain are the better team—more cohesive, more talented across the board, and with a fast, collective style of play that’s already proven successful.
For all these reasons, Spain is poised to continue their reign over European football. Already winners of the last Euro and the previous Nations League, they’re clear contenders to carry that success into next year’s World Cup.
Portugal vs. Spain Pick: Spain Moneyline (-110) — DraftKings
