Saturday Premier League Betting Odds & Picks: Crystal Palace vs. Everton Preview (Sept. 26)

Saturday Premier League Betting Odds & Picks: Crystal Palace vs. Everton Preview (Sept. 26) article feature image
Credit:

Matthew Ashton of AMA for Getty Images. Pictured: Crystal Palace star Wilfried Zaha.

  • Unbeaten clubs Crystal Palace and Everton go at it in Premier League action, headlining the weekend card in England's top flight.
  • Jeremy Pond breaks down the match and gives his top plays.

Crystal Palace vs. Everton Odds

Crystal Palace Odds +270 [BET NOW]
Everton  Odds +110 [BET NOW]
Draw +230 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-143) [BET NOW]
Time 10 a.m. ET
TV NBCSN

Odds updated as of Friday at 3 p.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Clubs in brilliant form highlight Saturday’s Premier League card, with Crystal Palace entertaining Everton in a battle of unbeaten sides at Selhurst Park.

These sides, who are just two of five still perfect in England’s top flight, have been fantastic in their respective starts. And that strong, early form is something both needed coming into this season after disappointing showings and finishes during last year’s campaign.

Historically, Everton has had a ridiculous run of form against Crystal Palace in recent meetings, going unbeaten in the last 11 matches in the series. The last time the host side defeated its foe was six years ago.

You have to go back even further to find Palace’s last home win against Everton, which came 16 years ago in the 1994 season.

Let’s take a look at Crystal Palace and Everton to see what might be in store during Saturday’s showdown:

Crystal Palace

What a start it has been for the Eagles.

Crystal Palace is perfect so far, highlighted by an impressive 3-1 win against Manchester United last Saturday at Old Trafford. Wilfried Zaha led the way, recording a second-half brace en route to the shock result.

There is a different feel in South London surrounding this team, which struggled mightily throughout last season’s slate. The Eagles scored just 31 goals during the 2019-20 campaign, which was second-worst in the entire league, and finished in 14th place on 43 points.

We are very early in the Premier League season, so there isn’t much data and statistical information available, but Crystal Palace currently sits on 2.2 expected goals and 1.9 expected goals against, resulting in a +0.30 xGDiff and +0.17 xGDiff/90 minutes.


Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.


Everton

The Toffees are also off to an excellent start in league action, entering this tilt off last week’s 5-2 drubbing of West Bromwich Albion at Goodison Park. Dominic Calvert-Lewin led the way with a hat trick for the Everton, which looks like a club that could make a run at the league’s Top 4 this season.

The addition of Colombian international James Rodriguez has reaped its rewards thus far, which has to have Everton and its fan base excited for the campaign in England’s top flight.

The Toffees’ hot start has them right near the top of the standings in all similar statistics. Everton boasts 5.0 expected goals and 1.3 expected goals against, resulting in a stellar +3.7 xGDiff and +1.90 xGDiff/90 minutes. The club is second overall in expected goals and xGDiff/90 minutes, putting it just behind defending league champion Liverpool in both categories.

Betting Analysis

I have a hard time believing this match is going to be anything but wide open. You have clubs who have looked great in their opening fixtures and I see both getting after it at Selhurst Park.

That being said, I am backing the total to go over the number at a ripe price and both teams to score as my top plays.

History might tell us those aren’t the smart choices — specifically, the game total — due to the fact seven of the last eight matches between these sides at Selhurst Park have gone under the number.

However, we live in the present and these offenses have been firing on all cylinders thus far, which is why I’m forecasting a back-and-forth affair.

If you’re looking for a side, back Everton on a live draw no bet number. The Toffees’ currently sit at -200 and that’s just way too much juice for my liking. I would jump on that play if you can get it somewhere around -150 if possible.

Picks: Total Over 2.5 Goals (+116); Both Teams To Score: Yes (-113)

[Bet the match at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]

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