Sunday European Soccer Odds, Picks, Predictions: Our Top Parlay, Featuring Liverpool & Inter Milan (Nov. 7)
Nicolò Campo/LightRocket via Getty Images. Pictured: AC Milan standout Olivier Giroud.
We close out the European soccer schedule ahead of the international break with intriguing confrontations on the slate. And that means another parlay is being unveiled for the soccer bettors.
The latest featured play has Brett Pund pairing with fellow analyst Anthony Dabbundo, with the duo targeting games between West Ham United vs. Liverpool and AC Milan vs. Inter Milan for the latest wager.
Check out their detailed thoughts and in-depth analysis, plus what kind of price they’re getting on the parlay at DraftKings ahead of these contests.
West Ham vs. Liverpool
|West Ham Odds||+360|
|Over/Under||3.5 (+125 / -155)|
|Day | Time||Sunday | 11:30 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||NBCSN | fuboTV|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.|
Brett Pund: There should be plenty of goals between West Ham United and Liverpool in Sunday’s Premier League showdown, which makes the total over three goals on the Asian Handicap the perfect bet for the first leg of the parlay.
For starters, this match features two of the four clubs in the English top flight to score at least 20 goals through 10 matches this season. The sides rank in the top four in expected goals, shots per match and big chances created.
If you look over the last five matches for both teams, the Reds have the highest xG (12.31) and this same bet cashed in all five fixtures. The Hammers are second in that stretch with 9.79 xG when it comes to the advanced metric.
The same trend of goals exists for the pair of clubs if you look at the full season, where Liverpool’s matches have averaged 3.7 goals. Games featuring West Ham has delivered 3.1 goals so far.
We have in-form teams at the top of the table meeting at London Stadium, so I think this big game is a good to deliver on the total going over the number.
Pund’s Pick: Total Over 3 Goals (-125)
AC Milan vs. Inter Milan
|AC Milan Odds||+220|
|Inter Milan Odds||+125|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-145 / +120)|
|Day | Time||Sunday | 2:45 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Paramount+|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here|
Anthony Dabbundo: Most of AC Milan’s improvement from last year to this season has come on the defensive end, where the Rossoneri have allowed the third-fewest expected goals in Italy and the third-fewest big scoring chances.
The Milan defense will be tested on Sunday, though, by Inter Milan’s top-ranked Italian attack, but the visitor also has some negative attacking regression coming given no team has over-performed its expected goals for numbers more than it has so far this season.
Milan has only scored three of its last 11 goals from open play and has been the beneficiary of own goals, penalties and attacking set pieces to inflate its attacking numbers of late.
Given both teams’ position on the table, with neither side desperately needing the victory, avoiding defeat could be of more importance if it’s a 1-1 game late.
My projection has just 2.65 goals for this game. And given the downward trend of both attacking units in the last few Serie A matches, this should be a lower-scoring contest.
Dabbundo’s Pick: Total Under 3 Goals (-130)
Pund & Dabbundo Parlay
West Ham vs. Liverpool — Total Over 3 Goals (-125) & AC Milan vs. Inter Milan — Total Under 3 Goals (-130) at +218 odds via DraftKings.