Tottenham vs. Everton Betting Preview: Back Both Teams to Score
Catherine Ivill/Getty Images. Pictured: Richarlison
- Tottenham and Everton square off in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.
- Ian Quillen breaks down the match and where he sees value.
- Read on for his best bet and prediction.
Tottenham vs. Everton Odds
|Over/Under||2.5 (-130 / +100)|
|Day | Time||Saturday | 12:30 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||NBC|
|Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
Tottenham Hotspur look to maintain their perfect Premier League home record on Sunday when they host an Everton side coming off its first loss in seven matches.
Tottenham’s bright start has been somewhat overshadowed by the early brilliance of crosstown rivals Arsenal, who triumphed 3-1 in those teams’ first meeting two weekends ago. However, the Spurs are only four points back in the title chase after last weekend’s 1-0 league win at a very pesky Brighton.
Everton enters the weekend in 12th and is even on points with crosstown rival Liverpool, following its first loss since August. Things are going well enough that there may be some disappointment in losing to a "bigger" club among supporters, given that Everton held an early lead.
Spurs winger Richarlison could make his first appearance against his former club. The Brazilian was critical to Everton's Premier League survival last season, scoring six league goals and adding two assists in April and May.
Richarlison is still looking for his first Premier League goal with Spurs since his summer move, but the North Londoners haven’t been hard up for scoring.
Harry Kane has scored in his past four Premier League games and in four of his past five matches across all competitions. His seven league goals would be receiving more plaudits if not for Erling Haaland’s rampaging start at Manchester City.
Son Heung-Min has also been in the mood of late, hitting a brace in this week’s 3-2 Champions League home win over Eintracht Frankfurt. He also scored a hat trick four weeks ago in a 6-2 win at Leicester City.
If there’s a criticism of manager Antonio Conte’s squad, it’s on the defensive side. Spurs have kept a clean sheet only twice in six home games and only once in four home Premier League fixtures.
Spurs sit third in the league table, but their 10.6 xGA is seventh among EPL clubs.
Everton conceded multiple goals for only the second time this season in Sunday’s defeat, but the Toffees had ridden a bit of luck until then.
Center backs Conor Coady and James Tarkowski have brought needed stability, and goalkeeper Jordan Pickford is having an exceptional season. Even so, Everton is one of only four EPL clubs to have conceded only nine times this season, even while their 14.9 xGA is third-worst in the league.
On the other hand, Frank Lampard’s side is a bit better than they’re given credit for. The end product will continue to improve with Neal Maupay in the fold for a few games and Dominic Calvert-Lewin healthy.
Everton isn't explosive in attack, but they’ve been pretty consistent and effective as a countering side, scoring in all but two matches. They’re also underperforming their xG by nearly two goals.
Betting Analysis & Pick
There’s reason to be bullish on a higher total in some form here, especially given that this game is in North London.
As we’ve seen with Spurs, the pressure on them to take the impetus in front of the home crowd has led to less-than-perfect defending. Everton is particularly well set up to hurt such a team on the counter.
However, the home side probably wins this one anyway. Everton has weathered storms defensively, but this is its first match anywhere against the trio of sides in the top three. The analytics suggest the elite EPL teams should be able to find multiple goals against them.
That all brings me to value on a yes wager on both teams to score at -105 odds and an implied 51.2% probability. It’s a trend that has hit in all four of Everton’s away league fixtures and three of Spurs’ four at home.
The Pick: Both teams to score – yes (-105)