Germany and Portugal will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Allianz Arena in Munich.
The German side is favored at a -115 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-135o /+105u) goals.
Let's get into my Germany vs. Portugal prediction.
Germany vs. Portugal Prediction, Odds
| Germany Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -120 | 2.5 -135o / +105u | -115 |
| Portugal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -115 | 2.5 -135o / +105u | +285 |
Germany vs. Portugal spread: -0.5 (-120), +0.5 (-115)
Germany vs. Portugal over/under: 2.5 goals (-135o / +105u)
Germany vs. Portugal moneyline: Germany -115, Draw +255, Portugal +285
Germany vs. Portugal best bet: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+105)
Germany Prediction
Germany heads into this semifinal as one of the two unbeaten teams in this edition of the Nations League—the other being Spain, who will face France in the other semifinal.
With 23 goals in eight matches, Julian Nagelsmann’s side is the tournament’s top-scoring team, making them the clear favorites in this matchup, having only conceded eight goals so far.
While reaching finals has eluded the German side in recent years, this Nations League presents a golden opportunity to bounce back from the controversial EURO 2024 elimination against Spain — just 137 miles away from that heartbreak.
Portugal Prediction
Portugal had a strong start to this Nations League campaign, winning four matches and drawing two in the group stage. In the knockout round, Roberto Martínez’s side managed to bounce back from a first-leg stumble against Denmark (a 0-1 loss) by thrashing the Danes 5-2 in Lisbon.
The Portuguese squad boasts a promising mix of seasoned veterans, including Cristiano Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes, alongside rising talents such as Vitinha, Nuno Mendes, and Rafael Leão.
Portugal faces a tough challenge—despite the expected support from traveling Portuguese fans, Germany's home-field advantage will be significant and could impact certain players.
Germany vs. Portugal Pick
If we take a close look at this matchup, Germany holds the home-field advantage — and in a stadium as imposing as the Allianz Arena, the crowd makes a significant difference. We saw it just days ago with the passion of PSG fans during the Champions League Final.
However, considering the context in which this game will be played, we can expect a tight match where small details will likely decide the outcome. Both teams are strong on offense and defense, which is why I believe this will be a low-scoring game. And with the value currently offered on the Under, I have no doubt where my pick is.
Germany vs. Portugal Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+105) — DraftKings
