USA and Costa Rica will face off today at 7:00 p.m. EDT at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Min.
Team USA is favored at a -175 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+100o / -125u) goals.
Let's get into my USA vs. Costa Rica prediction.
USA vs. Costa Rica Odds
| USA Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -195 | 2.5 +100o / -125u | -175 |
| Costa Rica Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +140 | 2.5 +100o / -125u | +500 |
USA vs. Costa Rica spread: USA -0.5 (-195), Costa Rica +0.5 (+140)
USA vs. Costa Rica over/under: 2.5 goals (+100o/-125u)
USA vs. Costa Rica moneyline: USA -175, Draw +295, Costa Rica +500
USA vs. Costa Rica best bet: USA Win & Under 3.5 Total Goals (-105, DraftKings)
USA vs. Costa Rica Prediction
Picks: USA win & Under 3.5 Total Goals
My USA vs. Costa Rica best bet is on the USA to win and qualify for the semifinals.
USA Prediction
The lead-up to the Gold Cup may have seemed a bit chaotic for the US Men's National Team, but Mauricio Pochettino's squad quickly silenced any doubts with a commanding 5–0 win over Trinidad and Tobago in their opening match.
The second game, seen as the toughest test in Group D, came against Saudi Arabia. Once again, the USMNT rose to the occasion, controlling over 65% of possession and sealing a 1–0 win thanks to a decisive goal from Chris Richards, securing their spot in the quarterfinals.
Lastly, while the match against Haiti could have been treated as a formality, Pochettino had one clear objective: Win the group and secure a better position in the knockout stage. Malik Tillman and Patrick Agyemang stepped up to deliver a third straight win for the U.S. team.
Costa Rica Prediction
Looking to crush the American dream is Costa Rica. Los Ticos are in great form, and this Gold Cup run is proof of that. Two thrilling victories over Suriname and the Dominican Republic set up a "final" group-stage showdown against Mexico. However, a lackluster draw left Miguel Herrera’s side in second place in Group A.
As mentioned, Costa Rica is enjoying a strong run of form. In official matches, Los Ticos haven’t lost since November 2024, when they fell 1–0 to Panama in the CONCACAF Nations League quarterfinals.
USA vs. Costa Rica Prediction
The US comes in as the favorite with a -175 moneyline price to win the match and -375 to advance to the Gold Cup semifinals. It's no secret that Mauricio Pochettino’s squad features a stronger roster on paper, with several players competing in top European leagues. However, beyond talent, you also have to factor in Costa Rica’s hunger for redemption and victory.
Even though I still believe this will be a tight and scrappy match, it's hard to find real value here due to the heavy favoritism toward the US Team in the sportsbooks. That said, my best bet for this matchup is one of the same-game parlay offered by DraftKings: USA to win and Under 3.5 Total Goals.
Picks: USA to Win & Under 3.5 Total Goals (-105, DraftKings)
