West Ham United (1-6-1) and Leeds United (2-4-2) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Elland Road in Leeds, England.
Leeds is favored at a -125 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+110o / -138u) goals.
Let's get into my West Ham vs. Leeds prediction.
West Ham vs. Leeds Prediction
Pick: Leeds Moneyline
My West Ham vs. Leeds best bet is Leeds to win outright.
West Ham vs. Leeds Odds
| West Ham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 110o / -138u | +375 | |
| Leeds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 110o / -138u | -125 | |
West Ham vs. Leeds Picks, Parlay
Newly promoted Leeds United hosts West Ham at Elland Road. Both teams are looking to bounce back: Leeds lost 2-0 against Burnley and West Ham's woes continued with a 2-0 loss to Brentford.
Siding with the home team as our favored selection in this match prediction is primarily an anti-West Ham stance rather than a pro-Leeds choice.
With four points after eight games, this is West Ham’s worst-ever start to a Premier League season. The Hammers have lost their opening four home league games for the first time since the 1930/31 season.
Brentford’s domination of West Ham at home on Monday has since seen the market move in favor of the Hammers’ next opponents, Leeds. The newly promoted side could have been backed at evens before West Ham’s recent defeat.
West Ham’s second-half statistics on Monday, given the 0-1 scoreline and having home advantage, highlight how much this side is struggling to become a cohesive unit.
West Ham seemed unable to progress the ball into the final third to its attacking trio. The four shots, 0.25xG (expected goals), and nine touches in the opposition’s box in the second half point to an inability to compete against competent Premier League teams.
Nuno Espirito Santo had just four days to work with West Ham on the training field after its worst performance of the season. The head coach’s team selection was partly to blame, leaving full-backs El Hadji Malick Diouf and Aaron Wan-Bissaka on the bench, a decision quickly rectified at half-time.
The atmosphere at Elland Road will be deafening, the crowd expectant, and Leeds United should be hopeful, given recent Hammers performances.
No team has conceded more goals (18) than West Ham this season. The visitors’ 1.71xGA (expected goals against) per 90 minutes, after eight games, might allow Leeds to take the lead and hold onto it.
Pick: Leeds Moneyline (-125, bet365)
West Ham vs. Leeds Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| West Ham | Draw | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 28.2% | 25.3% | 46.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| West Ham | Total Goals | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 2.55 | 1.44 |
