West Ham hosts title-chasing Arsenal at the London Stadium in England for a crucial Premier League showdown on Sunday, May 10, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 11:30 a.m. ET.
With one team fighting for the league title and the other desperate to avoid relegation, this match has massive implications at both ends of the table.
Arsenal is favored at a -167 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-150o / +120u) goals.
Let’s get into our West Ham vs Arsenal prediction.
West Ham vs Arsenal Prediction
Our prediction is that Arsenal will secure a victory while scoring fewer than four goals in this match. The Gunners have everything to play for and possess the defensive structure to grind out a vital win against a motivated but struggling West Ham side.
West Ham vs Arsenal Odds
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -105 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | -167 |
| West Ham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -130 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | +425 |
West Ham vs Arsenal Picks
Here are our top picks for the West Ham vs Arsenal Premier League clash:
- Arsenal to Win and Under 4 Arsenal Goals (-111, bet365)
- Arsenal to Win to Nil (+175, bet365)
The Premier League title race has opened up for Arsenal after Manchester City dropped points, putting Mikel Arteta’s squad in a prime position to win it all. The equation is simple: win the remaining games, and the championship is theirs. This is a must-win trip to face relegation-threatened West Ham.
Arsenal’s path to victory is paved by its exceptional defense. They boast the best defensive record in the Premier League, conceding an average of just 0.61 goals per game and holding the league's lowest expected goals against (xGA) at 25.98.
This defensive strength is crucial, especially on the road, where they have kept seven clean sheets in 17 matches.
While West Ham is fighting for survival and unbeaten in its last six home league games, it has struggled offensively at times, failing to score in five of its 17 matches at the London Stadium. In the reverse fixture, Arsenal completely neutralized them, allowing just 0.49 xG and zero shots on target.
Combining an Arsenal win with the under on their goal total offers solid value. The Gunners have scored four or more goals in just two of their 17 away league matches this season.
Coming off an intense midweek Champions League game, expect a professional, efficient performance focused on securing the three points rather than running up the score.
West Ham vs Arsenal Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| West Ham | Draw | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 22.6% | 59.2% |
Projected Total Goals
| West Ham | Match Total | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | 2.57 | 1.73 |
West Ham vs Arsenal Betting Analysis
This match presents a classic clash of motivations. Arsenal is on the verge of its most successful season in years, while West Ham is in a desperate fight to avoid the drop.
The Hammers' recent home form is impressive, as they are unbeaten in their last six league matches at the London Stadium. However, they face an Arsenal team that has rediscovered its top form after a brief stumble in April.
Arsenal's defensive solidity is the key differentiator. They have conceded only 15 goals on the road all season and have the tactical discipline to manage games against high-pressure opponents.
West Ham will rely on the attacking prowess of Jarrod Bowen, who has been influential at home, but breaking down Europe's best defense will be a monumental task.
Head-to-head history shows Arsenal has had the upper hand, winning three of the last five meetings. They secured a comfortable 2-0 victory earlier this season, demonstrating their ability to control the game.
While West Ham’s desperation could make them dangerous, Arsenal’s superior quality and defensive organization should see them through this critical test.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your West Ham vs Arsenal picks.
