Wolverhampton Wanderers (1-16-5) and Manchester City (13-5-4) will face off today at 10:00 a.m. EST at Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
Man City is favored at a -477 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (-111o / -118u) goals.
Let's get into my Wolverhampton vs. Man City prediction.
Wolverhampton vs. Man City Prediction
Pick:Antoine Semenyo to Score
My Wolverhampton vs. Man City best bet is on Antoine Semenyo to score.
Wolverhampton vs. Man City Odds
| Wolverhampton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -175 | 3.5 -111o / -118u | +1100 |
| Man City Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 +120 | 3.5 -111o / -118u | -477 |
Wolverhampton vs. Man City Picks, Parlay
Pick: Antoine Semenyo to Score
After a recent slump, Manchester City needs a definitive response, and oddsmakers expect one against the league’s last-place team. However, the value doesn’t lie on the steep moneyline, but rather in the player prop market. Newcomer Antoine Semenyo has made an immediate impact for City, and this matchup presents an ideal opportunity for him to score again.
Semenyo began his City career with a goal on his debut at the Etihad and followed it up with another in a cup match. His underlying metrics are impressive: over the last year, he ranks in the 87th percentile for non-penalty goals per 90 minutes among attacking midfielders and wingers in Europe’s top five leagues. That output should only increase at a club like City, which creates far more chances than his previous team. With the hosts the only Premier League side averaging more than two goals per game (and an even stronger 2.36 at home) Semenyo should see plenty of service.
While Wolves have shown signs of improvement with a five-game unbeaten run across all competitions, their away form remains a major concern. They are winless in 11 league matches on the road and average just 0.45 goals per game in those fixtures. That lack of attacking threat makes it hard to envision them keeping pace with a motivated City side at the Etihad, where Pep Guardiola’s team is unbeaten in its last 10 Premier League matches.
Wolverhampton vs. Man City Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Wolverhampton | Draw | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 16.8% | 72.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Wolverhampton | Total Goals | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | 3.06 | 2.33 |
Wolverhampton vs. Man City Betting Analysis
A deep dive into the history between these two clubs reveals a clear pattern of dominance for the home side. Manchester City have won four consecutive meetings against Wolverhampton, averaging 3.0 goals scored per game in that stretch. In their first meeting this season, City dismantled Wolves 4-0 at Molineux. Erling Haaland has been particularly lethal in this matchup, scoring nine goals in his last six appearances against them.
However, recent form adds an interesting wrinkle to this Wolves vs. Man City pick. Surprisingly, Wolves have collected more points over the last four league matches (six) than City (three). The Citizens are also on a four-game winless run in the Premier League and enter this fixture after a midweek Champions League match.
Even with the potential for fatigue, the stakes are too high for City to slip up here. Failing to secure all three points would deal a serious blow to their title hopes. For Wolves, the reality is stark: they remain the only Premier League team without an away win this season. Beginning a successful road campaign at the Etihad, where City have won eight of their last 10 league matches, feels like an almost impossible task. Ultimately, the home side’s superior quality and motivation should overwhelm a Wolves team that, despite recent resilience, continues to struggle away from home.
Check out the best soccer odds before you make your Wolves vs Man City picks.
