The Connecticut Sun (5-23) and Los Angeles Sparks (13-15) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
The Sparks are favored by -10.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 175.5 (-112o / -108u). The Sparks are a -575 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +425 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Sun vs. Sparks predictions and WNBA picks.
Sun vs. Sparks Odds, Pick
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -112 | 175.5 -112o / -108u | +425 |
| Sparks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10.5 -108 | 175.5 -112o / -108u | -575 |
- Sun vs. Sparks Spread: Sparks -10.5 (-108), Sun +10.5 (-112)
- Sun vs. Sparks Over/Under: 175.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Sun vs. Sparks Moneyline: Sun +425, Sparks -575
- Sun vs. Sparks Best Bet: Sparks -10.5
Sun vs. Sparks Preview
Despite being next-to-last in the Western Conference, the Sparks are clear favorites against the worst team in the WNBA this season.
This pick also catches Los Angeles on the upside, as it has won its last two games against the Seattle Storm and the Indiana Fever. A better approach than the moneyline would be playing the spread at a higher value.
The Sparks defeated the Sun in their two matchups this season. On July 13, they beat them 92-88, and two weeks later, they won again, 101-86. With a 10.5 line tonight, that recent margin would easily cover the spread.
Kelsey Plum leads Los Angeles in points (20.4) and assists (6.2). The team has no injury concerns for tonight.
Meanwhile, the Sun have lost two in a row, which is a recurrent issue for a team with a 5-23 record. More importantly, they were defeated by margins of nine and 16 points in those games.
The Sun have Bria Hartley listed as questionable for tonight's game due to illness.
Our Bet Labs recommendation is to go with the Sparks to cover the spread.
Sun vs. Sparks Prediction
The Non-Playoff Teams Favored vs. Playoff Teams, High Total system identifies value in regular-season WNBA games where a non-playoff team from last season is favored over a team that made the playoffs, despite public perception favoring the latter.
The assumption is that the market undervalues current-year improvements or motivation for the non-playoff team.
The edge is further amplified in high-total games (158–188), which often signal pace or scoring confidence, typically associated with better teams — but here, the lesser-known favorite may be more explosive than assumed.
This mispricing creates a spread edge for the non-playoff favorite.
Best Bet: Sparks -10.5
