Tottenham hosts Newcastle at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, for a Premier League showdown, with kick-off set for 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, August 29.
After both teams showed defensive vulnerabilities on opening weekend, this match presents an interesting betting angle.
Tottenham is favored at a +125 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-163o / +130u) goals.
Let's get into our Newcastle vs. Tottenham prediction.
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Prediction
Pick: Both Teams To Score (-188)
Our Newcastle vs. Tottenham best bet is for both teams to find the back of the net.
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Odds
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -165 | 2.5 -163o / 130u | +190 |
| Tottenham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +120 | 2.5 -163o / 130u | +125 |
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Picks, Parlay
Pick 1: Both Teams To Score (-188, bet365)
Pick 2: Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals (-120, bet365)
Historical data between these clubs, along with their defensive performances in the first match of the season, strongly suggest goals are on the menu for both sides.
The case is compelling. League matches between Tottenham and Newcastle have a long history of being high-scoring affairs. An incredible 12 of the last 13 Premier League meetings between these two have seen both teams score, with those games averaging a remarkable 4.08 goals per match.
This trend looks set to continue based on their opening weekend performances. Tottenham were dismantled 3-0 by Brentford, conceding an expected goals (xG) of 3.87 and allowing 26 shots. It was a concerning defensive display that highlighted ongoing issues.
Similarly, Newcastle conceded 27 shots against Liverpool and posted an expected goals against (xGA) of 2.98 in their 2-2 draw. Both backlines appear porous and susceptible to pressure.
For Spurs, this defensive fragility extends to their home fixtures. The 'Both Teams to Score' bet has been successful in eight of Tottenham’s last 10 home league matches in 2026.
Newcastle’s away record also supports this pick, as they have managed just two clean sheets in their last nine Premier League away games, conceding an average of 1.44 goals in that span.
While Tottenham have invested heavily in new talent, including Savinho and the incoming Omar Marmoush, their attack may improve, but the defense remains a significant work in progress under Roberto De Zerbi.
This combination of offensive potential and defensive instability creates the perfect environment for a goals-based wager.
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Newcastle | Draw | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7% | 23.7% | 45.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Newcastle | Total Goals | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 2.94 | 1.63 |
Newcastle vs. Tottenham Betting Analysis
Tottenham enter this match under significant pressure after a comprehensive 3-0 defeat to Brentford. They need a response in front of their home crowd to avoid an early-season slide.
In contrast, Newcastle showed flashes of brilliance in their 2-2 draw with Liverpool, twice taking the lead with rapid counter-attacks. However, their inability to hold onto that lead points to their own defensive questions that need answering.
Historically, this fixture has been difficult for Spurs. Newcastle is currently on a six-game unbeaten streak against Tottenham, which includes five wins and one draw. The last time these teams met at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Newcastle left with a 2-1 victory.
This recent dominance gives the visitors a psychological edge, even if their overall away form has been poor, with just four wins in their last 22 Premier League road matches.
Spurs' struggles at home are also a major factor. Last season, they won just three of their 19 home league matches, a startlingly poor record for a club of their stature.
With both teams still finding their footing under their respective management and exhibiting clear defensive weaknesses, this matchup feels wide open. While Spurs are the nominal home favorite, Newcastle's head-to-head record and counter-attacking threat make them a dangerous opponent.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Tottenham vs Newcastle picks.
