Promotion Banner

2021 Valspar Championship Round 3 Best Bet: Back Keegan Bradley Over Sam Burns at Copperhead (Saturday, May 1)

2021 Valspar Championship Round 3 Best Bet: Back Keegan Bradley Over Sam Burns at Copperhead (Saturday, May 1) article feature image

Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Keegan Bradley

After two rounds of The Valspar Championship, both Keegan Bradley and Sam Burns have given themselves a bit of separation from the field. Burns got to 12 under par by firing the low round of the week, carding a 63, on Friday at Copperhead.

Alternatively, Bradley was pretty steady all day until the 18th hole where he jarred it from the fairway on 9 to finish his round. At 12 under, the pair has a four-shot cushion over the trio of Lucas Glover, Max Homa and Charley Hoffman, all of whom  sit at 8 under for the tournament.

Looking ahead to the third round, my best bet will be focused on the the final pairing on Moving Day.

The must-have app for golf bettors

Custom scoreboard for your bets

Free picks from experts

Live odds for every golfer

Best Bet

Keegan Bradley (-117) over Sam Burns (DraftKings)

Something feels different about Bradley this week.

In his post-round interview, he talked about how comfortable he has felt on the greens lately, especially at Copperhead. His tee-to-green game is always extremely reliable, but this week it has been even more stellar than usual.

After two rounds, Bradley leads the field in Strokes Gained: Approach (+5.4); Strokes Gained: Ball Striking (+6.9); and, Strokes Gained: Tee to Green (+8.3). Additionally, this is the right spot to fade Burns. It’s always difficult to follow up an extremely low round, which I expect to be the case for Burns.

The 24-year-old has also proven time and time again in his career that he can not be trusted in important spots. He’s usually a sure-fire bet for a mediocre or poor round when he has a chance to take a stranglehold on a tournament

His tee-to-green statistics through two rounds have been above average, but he’s well behind Bradley in the three aforementioned categories in which Keegan leads the field.

This Round 3 matchup bet is both a play on Bradley and a play against Burns.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.