2022 Mexico Open Odds, Picks: 2 Outright Bets, 1 DFS Sleeper

2022 Mexico Open Odds, Picks: 2 Outright Bets, 1 DFS Sleeper article feature image

Steph Chambers/Getty Images. Pictured: Lanto Griffin.

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Click arrow to expand 2022 Mexico Open odds via PointsBet

2022 Mexico Open Odds

Jon Rahm+500
Abraham Ancer+1600
Gary Woodland+2000
Tony Finau+2000
Kevin Na+2500
Aaron Wise+3000
Cameron Tringale+3000
Patrick Reed+3000
Sebastian Munoz+3000
Chris Kirk+3500
Aaron Rai+5000
Adam Long+5000
Brendon Todd+5000
Cameron Champ+5000
Charles Howell III+5000
Doug Ghim+5000
Kevin Streelman+5000
Matt Jones+5000
Russell Knox+5000
Carlos Ortiz+6000
Cheng-Tsung Pan+6000
Davis Riley+6000
Mark Hubbard+6000
Sahith Theegala+6000
Alex Smalley+6600
Lanto Griffin+6600
Taylor Moore+6600
Anirban Lahiri+7000
Chad Ramey+7000
Scott Stallings+7000
David Lipsky+8000
JT Poston+8000
Pat Perez+8000
Patrick Rodgers+8000
Wyndham Clark+8000
Greyson Sigg+9000
Kramer Hickok+9000
Nate Lashley+9000
Tyler Duncan+9000
Adam Svensson+10000
Austin Smotherman+10000
Brandon Wu+10000
Brian Stuard+10000
Chase Seiffert+10000
Hank Lebioda+10000
Joseph Bramlett+10000
Michael Thompson+10000
Nick Taylor+10000
Scott Piercy+10000
Vaughn Taylor+10000
Vincent Whaley+10000
Adam Schenk+12500
Andrew D. Putnam+12500
Brice Garnett+12500
Danny Lee+12500
Dylan Wu+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
Graeme McDowell+12500
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+12500
Peter Uihlein+12500
Rafael Cabrera Bello+12500
Robert Streb+12500
Ryan Armour+12500
Andrew Novak+15000
Ben Griffin+15000
Ben Martin+15000
Callum Tarren+15000
Chez Reavie+15000
James Hahn+15000
John Huh+15000
Justin Lower+15000
Kurt Kitayama+15000
Lee Hodges+15000
Matt Wallace+15000
Peter Malnati+15000
Roger Sloan+15000
Trey Mullinax+15000
Aaron Baddeley+20000
Bill Haas+20000
Bo Hoag+20000
Camilo Villegas+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Jason Dufner+20000
Kevin Tway+20000
Luke Donald+20000
Patrick Flavin+20000
Stephan Jaeger+20000
Ben Kohles+25000
Brandon Hagy+25000
Curtis Thompson+25000
Paul Barjon+25000
Richy Werenski+25000
Satoshi Kodaira+25000
Scott Brown+25000
Scott Gutschewski+25000
Seung-yul Noh+25000
Sung Kang+25000
Wesley Bryan+25000
Bryson Nimmer+30000
David Skinns+30000
Fabian Gomez+30000
Jared Wolfe+30000
Jonathan Byrd+30000
Max McGreevy+30000
Seth Reeves+30000
Austin Cook+35000
Michael Gligic+35000
Ryan Blaum+35000
Brett Drewitt+40000
David Hearn+40000
David Lingmerth+40000
Grayson Murray+40000
Joshua Creel+40000
Robert Garrigus+40000
Roberto Diaz+40000
Sang-Moon Bae+40000
Tommy Gainey+40000
Alvaro Ortiz+50000
Armando Favela+50000
Ben Crane+50000
Ben Willman+50000
Bo Van Pelt+50000
D.J. Trahan+50000
Darren Andrew Points+50000
Dawie Van Der Walt+50000
Greg Chalmers+50000
Isidro Benitez+50000
Jeffrey Kang+50000
Jim Knous+50000
Johnson Wagner+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Juan Cristobal Islas+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Manuel Inman+50000
Mark Hensby+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Matt Every+50000
Ricky Barnes+50000
Santiago de la Fuente+50000
Turk Pettit+50000
Arjun Atwal+50000
Derek Ernst+50000
Richard S. Johnson+50000
Get up to $2,200 FREE to bet the Mexico Open.

There is always a natural letdown after the year's first major, but it's strange to see so little interest in this week's Mexico Open. Perhaps it's due to the fact that we had a lackluster team event last week or the fact that everyone is looking forward to the Wells Fargo Championship next week. I always love these weeks because we can use the complacency of others to find edges in both betting and DFS.

This week's Mexico Open will be held at Vidanta Vallarta, which is a par-71 that measures 7,456 yards. Unlike most par-71s, this course features four par fives and five par threes. This essentially makes the course play even longer than the scorecard might suggest.

This is the first time seeing the course on the PGA TOUR, so there are a lot of unknowns at play. We can make assumptions based on the width of the fairways, grass type and length of the course, but we really won't know what type of golfer this course suits until the tournament gets underway.

My advice this week is to avoid groupthink as much as possible. The more unknowns we have, the more we should be willing to get away from popular opinion. If everyone is betting and using the same golfers in their DFS lineups, there will be value elsewhere. This is true for everyone except Jon Rahm, who is clearly the class of the field. There is no value in betting him at +400 in a field of 144 golfers, but he will be a staple in my DFS lineups.

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Outright: Gary Woodland +2200 (BetMGM)

Woodland is coming off of a missed cut at the Masters, but Augusta National has never been a place where he has played well. Prior to that, he had three top-10s in five starts. They weren't pushover events either, as he finished T8 at Valero, T5 at the API, and T5 at the Honda.

Woodland is top-15 in this field in driving distance, Strokes Gained: Approach, birdie or better percentage, and bogey avoidance. He also has some good finishes on courses that feature the same grass type as Vidanta Vallarta.

Longshot: Charles Howell III +6000 (DraftKings)

My favorite bet of the week is CH3 to finish in the top 10 at +550, but I will also put an outright bet on him just in case he catches fire with the flatstick.

Howell has always been a good driver of the ball, but his irons have let him down over the last few years. I went through and looked at his approach numbers over the last 18 months, the last 10 months and the last five months. He has gotten progressively better with the irons and consequently, his birdie rate has skyrocketed.

Howell also plays some of his best golf on easy courses, and he has a good track record on paspalum greens.

Contrarian DFS Play: Lanto Griffin $8,300 DraftKings / $9,700 FanDuel

There is a constant struggle in DFS between finding good value and chasing the hot form of golfers. I tend to side with the golfers that are priced down due to poor form, especially when that is accompanied by a discount in ownership.

Griffin has missed three of his last four cuts on tour, but it has basically been his short game that has let him down. I'm willing to take a chance on his bad around the green play in hopes that the course plays easy and/or he hits a lot of greens. The talent is certainly there and we are getting the chance to play him at a very reasonable price point.

Good luck!

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